NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 16, 2025
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 16, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 New England PatriotsNWE | 11-3 | 12.9 |
 Buffalo BillsBUF | 10-4 | 12.2 |
 Miami DolphinsMIA | 6-8 | 7.6 |
 New York JetsNYJ | 3-11 | 3.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 8-6 | 9.4 |
 Baltimore RavensBAL | 7-7 | 8.3 |
 Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 4-10 | 5.2 |
 Cleveland BrownsCLE | 3-11 | 4.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 10-4 | 11.8 |
 Houston TexansHOU | 9-5 | 10.9 |
 Indianapolis ColtsIND | 8-6 | 9.6 |
 Tennessee TitansTEN | 2-12 | 2.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Denver BroncosDEN | 12-2 | 13.4 |
 Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 10-4 | 11.6 |
 Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 6-8 | 8.3 |
 Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-12 | 2.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 9-5 | 10.8 |
 Dallas CowboysDAL | 6-7-1 | 7.5 |
 Washington CommandersWAS | 4-10 | 5.0 |
 New York GiantsNYG | 2-12 | 3.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Chicago BearsCHI | 10-4 | 11.3 |
 Green Bay PackersGNB | 9-4-1 | 10.9 |
 Detroit LionsDET | 8-6 | 9.9 |
 Minnesota VikingsMIN | 6-8 | 7.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 7-7 | 8.6 |
 Carolina PanthersCAR | 7-7 | 8.1 |
 Atlanta FalconsATL | 5-9 | 6.4 |
 New Orleans SaintsNOR | 4-10 | 5.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Los Angeles RamsLAR | 11-3 | 13.2 |
 Seattle SeahawksSEA | 11-3 | 12.9 |
 San Francisco 49ersSFO | 10-4 | 11.2 |
 Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-11 | 4.1 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.