NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 16, 2023
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 16, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Miami DolphinsMIA | 10-4 | 12.3 |
 Buffalo BillsBUF | 8-6 | 10.2 |
 New York JetsNYJ | 5-9 | 6.7 |
 New England PatriotsNWE | 3-11 | 4.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Baltimore RavensBAL | 11-3 | 13.3 |
 Cleveland BrownsCLE | 9-5 | 11.4 |
 Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 7-6 | 9.6 |
 Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 7-6 | 8.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Houston TexansHOU | 8-6 | 10.0 |
 Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 8-6 | 9.9 |
 Indianapolis ColtsIND | 7-6 | 10.0 |
 Tennessee TitansTEN | 5-9 | 6.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 9-5 | 11.8 |
 Denver BroncosDEN | 7-6 | 9.0 |
 Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 6-8 | 7.7 |
 Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 5-9 | 6.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 10-4 | 12.7 |
 Dallas CowboysDAL | 10-4 | 12.6 |
 New York GiantsNYG | 5-9 | 6.2 |
 Washington CommandersWAS | 4-10 | 5.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Detroit LionsDET | 9-4 | 12.0 |
 Minnesota VikingsMIN | 7-6 | 9.2 |
 Green Bay PackersGNB | 6-8 | 8.0 |
 Chicago BearsCHI | 5-9 | 7.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 New Orleans SaintsNOR | 7-7 | 9.2 |
 Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 7-7 | 9.2 |
 Atlanta FalconsATL | 6-8 | 8.2 |
 Carolina PanthersCAR | 2-12 | 3.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 San Francisco 49ersSFO | 11-3 | 13.7 |
 Los Angeles RamsLAR | 7-7 | 9.2 |
 Seattle SeahawksSEA | 7-7 | 8.9 |
 Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-11 | 4.6 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.