Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 15, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Miami DolphinsMIA | 9-4 | 12.0 |
Buffalo BillsBUF | 7-6 | 9.5 |
New York JetsNYJ | 5-8 | 7.1 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 3-10 | 4.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 10-3 | 12.8 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 8-5 | 10.9 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 7-6 | 9.3 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 7-6 | 9.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 8-5 | 10.6 |
Houston TexansHOU | 7-6 | 9.6 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 7-6 | 9.6 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 5-8 | 7.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 8-5 | 11.3 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 7-6 | 9.5 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 5-8 | 7.4 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 5-8 | 6.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Dallas CowboysDAL | 10-3 | 13.3 |
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 10-3 | 13.1 |
New York GiantsNYG | 5-8 | 6.5 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 4-9 | 5.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 9-4 | 11.5 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 7-6 | 10.0 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 6-7 | 8.6 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 5-8 | 7.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Atlanta FalconsATL | 6-7 | 8.7 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 6-7 | 8.7 |
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 6-7 | 8.5 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 1-12 | 3.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 10-3 | 13.3 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 6-7 | 8.7 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 6-7 | 8.2 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-10 | 4.5 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.