Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 9, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
New England PatriotsNWE | 6-2 | 11.2 |
Buffalo BillsBUF | 5-2 | 11.4 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 2-6 | 6.6 |
New York JetsNYJ | 1-7 | 5.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 4-3 | 8.9 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 3-5 | 6.3 |
Baltimore RavensBAL | 2-5 | 6.8 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 2-6 | 5.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 7-1 | 12.8 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 4-3 | 8.9 |
Houston TexansHOU | 3-4 | 8.4 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 1-7 | 3.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Denver BroncosDEN | 6-2 | 11.1 |
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 5-3 | 10.8 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 5-3 | 10.6 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-5 | 5.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 6-2 | 10.5 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 3-4-1 | 7.6 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 3-5 | 7.0 |
New York GiantsNYG | 2-6 | 6.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Green Bay PackersGNB | 5-1-1 | 11.2 |
Detroit LionsDET | 5-2 | 11.1 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 4-3 | 8.3 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 3-4 | 7.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 6-2 | 10.5 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 4-4 | 8.2 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 3-4 | 8.2 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 1-7 | 4.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 5-2 | 11.5 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 5-2 | 10.1 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 5-3 | 9.9 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 2-5 | 5.9 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.