Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 11, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Miami DolphinsMIA | 6-3 | 11.0 |
Buffalo BillsBUF | 5-5 | 9.1 |
New York JetsNYJ | 4-5 | 7.5 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 2-8 | 5.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 7-3 | 11.6 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 6-3 | 11.6 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 6-3 | 9.8 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 5-4 | 8.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 6-3 | 10.6 |
Houston TexansHOU | 5-4 | 10.3 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 5-5 | 9.2 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 3-6 | 6.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 7-2 | 12.4 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 5-5 | 8.0 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 4-5 | 8.5 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 4-5 | 7.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 8-1 | 12.3 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 6-3 | 12.0 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 4-6 | 7.2 |
New York GiantsNYG | 2-8 | 4.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 7-2 | 11.8 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 6-4 | 10.7 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 3-6 | 7.6 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 3-7 | 6.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 5-5 | 9.2 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 4-6 | 8.5 |
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 4-5 | 8.4 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 1-8 | 4.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 6-3 | 11.7 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 6-3 | 9.9 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 3-6 | 6.7 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 2-8 | 5.6 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.