NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 11, 2023

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings by division, Week 11, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.

AFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
MIA6-311.0
BUF5-59.1
NYJ4-57.5
NWE2-85.1
AFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
BAL7-311.6
CLE6-311.6
PIT6-39.8
CIN5-48.6
AFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
JAX6-310.6
HOU5-410.3
IND5-59.2
TEN3-66.9
AFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
KAN7-212.4
LVR5-58.0
LAC4-58.5
DEN4-57.8
NFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
PHI8-112.3
DAL6-312.0
WAS4-67.2
NYG2-84.7
NFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
DET7-211.8
MIN6-410.7
GNB3-67.6
CHI3-76.9
NFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
NOR5-59.2
ATL4-68.5
TAM4-58.4
CAR1-84.8
NFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
SFO6-311.7
SEA6-39.9
LAR3-66.7
ARI2-85.6

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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