NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 18, 2023
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 18, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Miami DolphinsMIA | 11-5 | 12.1 |
 Buffalo BillsBUF | 10-6 | 11.1 |
 New York JetsNYJ | 6-10 | 6.9 |
 New England PatriotsNWE | 4-12 | 4.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Baltimore RavensBAL | 13-3 | 14.2 |
 Cleveland BrownsCLE | 11-5 | 12.3 |
 Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 9-6 | 9.8 |
 Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 7-8 | 8.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 9-7 | 10.1 |
 Houston TexansHOU | 9-7 | 10.0 |
 Indianapolis ColtsIND | 8-7 | 10.0 |
 Tennessee TitansTEN | 5-11 | 5.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 10-6 | 11.3 |
 Denver BroncosDEN | 8-7 | 9.0 |
 Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 7-9 | 7.9 |
 Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 5-11 | 5.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Dallas CowboysDAL | 11-5 | 12.4 |
 Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 11-5 | 12.3 |
 New York GiantsNYG | 5-11 | 5.5 |
 Washington CommandersWAS | 4-12 | 4.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Detroit LionsDET | 10-5 | 12.0 |
 Green Bay PackersGNB | 8-8 | 9.1 |
 Chicago BearsCHI | 7-9 | 8.0 |
 Minnesota VikingsMIN | 7-8 | 8.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 8-8 | 9.1 |
 New Orleans SaintsNOR | 8-8 | 9.0 |
 Atlanta FalconsATL | 7-9 | 8.0 |
 Carolina PanthersCAR | 2-14 | 2.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 San Francisco 49ersSFO | 12-4 | 13.4 |
 Los Angeles RamsLAR | 9-7 | 10.1 |
 Seattle SeahawksSEA | 8-8 | 9.0 |
 Arizona CardinalsARI | 4-12 | 4.9 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.