NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Wild Card, 2023

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings by division, Wild Card, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.

AFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
MIA11-611.5
BUF11-611.5
NYJ7-107.6
NWE4-134.4
AFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
BAL13-313.7
CLE11-611.6
PIT9-610.3
CIN8-89.4
AFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
HOU9-710.6
JAX9-89.6
IND8-79.5
TEN6-116.4
AFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
KAN11-611.7
DEN8-88.5
LVR8-98.5
LAC5-125.3
NFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
DAL12-512.9
PHI11-611.7
NYG6-116.3
WAS4-134.1
NFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
DET11-512.5
GNB9-89.5
MIN7-97.5
CHI7-107.5
NFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
TAM9-89.7
NOR9-89.5
ATL7-107.5
CAR2-152.4
NFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
SFO12-512.6
LAR10-710.4
SEA9-89.5
ARI4-134.5

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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