NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 5, 2026

Week 5

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2026 · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Week 5, 2026: record (W-L-T) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
Team	Team	Rank	Record (W-L-T)	Predicted Wins
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	1no change	4-0-0	12.20
Chicago Bears	CHI	24up 4 positions	3-1-0	11.65
Buffalo Bills	BUF	31down 1 positions	3-1-0	10.95
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	41down 1 positions	4-0-0	10.77
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	52up 2 positions	3-1-0	10.40
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	62down 2 positions	3-1-0	10.39
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	72down 2 positions	3-1-0	10.11
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	8no change	3-1-0	9.89
Carolina Panthers	CAR	97up 7 positions	2-2-0	9.77
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	104up 4 positions	2-2-0	9.45
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	111down 1 positions	2-2-0	9.26
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	121down 1 positions	4-0-0	9.22
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	132up 2 positions	2-2-0	9.13
Cleveland Browns	CLE	143up 3 positions	3-1-0	9.03
New England Patriots	NWE	158up 8 positions	2-2-0	9.02
New York Giants	NYG	165up 5 positions	3-1-0	8.71
Indianapolis Colts	IND	171up 1 positions	2-2-0	8.70
Detroit Lions	DET	189down 9 positions	2-2-0	8.64
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	197up 7 positions	2-2-0	8.59
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	208down 8 positions	2-2-0	7.99
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	211up 1 positions	2-2-0	7.60
Denver Broncos	DEN	222down 2 positions	2-2-0	7.54
New Orleans Saints	NOR	2310down 10 positions	1-3-0	7.42
Green Bay Packers	GNB	244up 4 positions	2-2-0	7.15
New York Jets	NYJ	256down 6 positions	1-3-0	6.97
Houston Texans	HOU	261down 1 positions	0-4-0	6.81
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	273down 3 positions	1-3-0	6.60
Washington Commanders	WAS	281down 1 positions	1-3-0	5.98
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	293up 3 positions	0-4-0	5.58
Tennessee Titans	TEN	30no change	0-4-0	5.39
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	312down 2 positions	0-4-0	5.32
Miami Dolphins	MIA	321down 1 positions	0-4-0	4.80