NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 5, 2026
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 5, 2026: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Buffalo BillsBUF | 3-1 | 11.1 |
 New England PatriotsNWE | 2-2 | 9.1 |
 New York JetsNYJ | 1-3 | 7.0 |
 Miami DolphinsMIA | 0-4 | 4.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Baltimore RavensBAL | 3-1 | 10.3 |
 Cleveland BrownsCLE | 3-1 | 9.0 |
 Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 2-2 | 9.3 |
 Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 2-2 | 7.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 3-1 | 10.4 |
 Indianapolis ColtsIND | 2-2 | 8.7 |
 Houston TexansHOU | 0-4 | 6.9 |
 Tennessee TitansTEN | 0-4 | 5.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 4-0 | 10.7 |
 Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 3-1 | 10.1 |
 Denver BroncosDEN | 2-2 | 7.5 |
 Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 0-4 | 5.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 New York GiantsNYG | 3-1 | 8.6 |
 Dallas CowboysDAL | 2-2 | 9.2 |
 Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 2-2 | 8.1 |
 Washington CommandersWAS | 1-3 | 5.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Minnesota VikingsMIN | 4-0 | 9.3 |
 Chicago BearsCHI | 3-1 | 11.7 |
 Detroit LionsDET | 2-2 | 8.7 |
 Green Bay PackersGNB | 2-2 | 7.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Carolina PanthersCAR | 2-2 | 9.7 |
 Atlanta FalconsATL | 2-2 | 8.6 |
 New Orleans SaintsNOR | 1-3 | 7.5 |
 Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 0-4 | 5.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 San Francisco 49ersSFO | 4-0 | 12.2 |
 Seattle SeahawksSEA | 3-1 | 9.9 |
 Los Angeles RamsLAR | 2-2 | 9.5 |
 Arizona CardinalsARI | 1-3 | 6.6 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.