NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 10, 2026
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 10, 2026: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Buffalo BillsBUF | 7-1 | 12.8 |
 New England PatriotsNWE | 5-4 | 9.7 |
 New York JetsNYJ | 2-7 | 5.6 |
 Miami DolphinsMIA | 1-7 | 4.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 6-2 | 11.7 |
 Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 6-2 | 10.6 |
 Cleveland BrownsCLE | 5-4 | 8.4 |
 Baltimore RavensBAL | 4-5 | 7.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 6-2 | 11.7 |
 Houston TexansHOU | 3-5 | 8.4 |
 Indianapolis ColtsIND | 2-7 | 5.5 |
 Tennessee TitansTEN | 1-7 | 4.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Denver BroncosDEN | 7-2 | 10.7 |
 Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 6-2 | 10.4 |
 Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 4-5 | 8.2 |
 Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 0-8 | 3.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 New York GiantsNYG | 5-2-1 | 8.8 |
 Dallas CowboysDAL | 4-5 | 8.0 |
 Washington CommandersWAS | 2-5-1 | 6.0 |
 Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 2-7 | 5.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Chicago BearsCHI | 7-2 | 11.6 |
 Detroit LionsDET | 6-2 | 10.8 |
 Green Bay PackersGNB | 6-3 | 10.1 |
 Minnesota VikingsMIN | 6-2 | 9.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Carolina PanthersCAR | 3-5 | 7.5 |
 Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 3-6 | 7.2 |
 Atlanta FalconsATL | 3-6 | 7.0 |
 New Orleans SaintsNOR | 3-5 | 6.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 San Francisco 49ersSFO | 7-1 | 12.9 |
 Seattle SeahawksSEA | 5-4 | 9.7 |
 Los Angeles RamsLAR | 5-4 | 9.4 |
 Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-6 | 6.3 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.