Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 9, 2026: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 6-1 | 12.2 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 5-3 | 10.5 |
New York JetsNYJ | 2-6 | 6.2 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 1-6 | 4.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 6-2 | 10.7 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 5-2 | 11.0 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 5-3 | 9.0 |
Baltimore RavensBAL | 4-4 | 8.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 5-2 | 11.1 |
Houston TexansHOU | 2-5 | 7.7 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 2-6 | 6.1 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 1-7 | 4.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Denver BroncosDEN | 6-2 | 9.9 |
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 5-2 | 9.9 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 4-4 | 8.6 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 0-7 | 4.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
New York GiantsNYG | 4-2-1 | 8.4 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 3-5 | 7.6 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 2-4-1 | 6.2 |
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 2-6 | 5.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Chicago BearsCHI | 6-2 | 11.3 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 6-1 | 10.6 |
Detroit LionsDET | 5-2 | 10.0 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 5-3 | 9.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Carolina PanthersCAR | 3-4 | 8.1 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 3-5 | 7.7 |
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 3-5 | 7.6 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 2-5 | 6.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 6-1 | 12.2 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 4-4 | 9.3 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 4-4 | 9.3 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-5 | 6.9 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.