NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 16, 2022

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Week 16, 2022: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
RankTeamRecordProj. wins
1 (no change since last week)PHI13-115.2
2 (no change since last week)KAN11-313.0
3 (up 1 place since last week)MIN11-312.6
4 (up 1 place since last week)BUF11-312.6
5 (up 1 place since last week)SFO10-412.0
6 (down 3 places since last week)DAL10-411.7
7 (up 1 place since last week)CIN10-411.3
8 (down 1 place since last week)BAL9-510.6
9 (up 2 places since last week)LAC8-69.7
10 (down 1 place since last week)MIA8-69.6
11 (up 4 places since last week)NYG8-5-19.2
12 (up 5 places since last week)DET7-78.7
13 (down 3 places since last week)NYJ7-78.6
14 (down 1 place since last week)SEA7-78.4
15 (down 3 places since last week)TEN7-78.3
16 (down 2 places since last week)WAS7-6-18.3
17 (down 1 place since last week)NWE7-78.0
18 (up 2 places since last week)JAX6-87.7
19 (down 1 place since last week)TAM6-87.7
20 (down 1 place since last week)CLE6-87.6
21 (no change since last week)GNB6-87.5
22 (up 2 places since last week)PIT6-87.2
23 (no change since last week)LVR6-87.2
24 (down 2 places since last week)ATL5-96.4
25 (up 4 places since last week)NOR5-96.4
26 (down 1 place since last week)CAR5-96.2
27 (down 1 place since last week)IND4-9-15.5
28 (no change since last week)LAR4-105.3
29 (down 2 places since last week)ARI4-105.3
30 (no change since last week)DEN4-105.3
31 (no change since last week)CHI3-114.2
32 (no change since last week)HOU1-12-12.3

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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