NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 17, 2022

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Week 17, 2022: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
RankTeamRecordProj. wins
1 (no change since last week)PHI13-214.5
2 (no change since last week)KAN12-313.4
3 (no change since last week)MIN12-313.1
4 (no change since last week)BUF12-312.8
5 (up 1 place since last week)DAL11-412.3
6 (down 1 place since last week)SFO11-412.3
7 (no change since last week)CIN11-411.6
8 (no change since last week)BAL10-511.1
9 (no change since last week)LAC9-610.1
10 (no change since last week)MIA8-79.1
11 (no change since last week)NYG8-6-18.8
12 (up 6 places since last week)JAX7-88.2
13 (down 1 place since last week)DET7-88.1
14 (up 5 places since last week)TAM7-88.1
15 (down 1 place since last week)SEA7-88.0
16 (up 5 places since last week)GNB7-88.0
17 (down 4 places since last week)NYJ7-88.0
18 (down 2 places since last week)WAS7-7-17.9
19 (up 3 places since last week)PIT7-87.8
20 (down 5 places since last week)TEN7-87.7
21 (down 4 places since last week)NWE7-87.6
22 (down 2 places since last week)CLE6-97.1
23 (up 3 places since last week)CAR6-96.9
24 (up 1 place since last week)NOR6-96.8
25 (down 2 places since last week)LVR6-96.7
26 (down 2 places since last week)ATL5-106.0
27 (up 1 place since last week)LAR5-105.9
28 (down 1 place since last week)IND4-10-15.0
29 (no change since last week)ARI4-114.9
30 (no change since last week)DEN4-114.7
31 (no change since last week)CHI3-123.8
32 (no change since last week)HOU2-12-12.8

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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