NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 11, 2023
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (no change since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 7-2 | 12.4 |
| 2 (no change since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 8-1 | 12.3 |
| 3 (up 2 places since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 6-3 | 12.0 |
| 4 (up 3 places since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 7-2 | 11.8 |
| 5 (up 4 places since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 6-3 | 11.7 |
| 6 (no change since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 6-3 | 11.6 |
| 7 (down 4 places since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 7-3 | 11.6 |
| 8 (down 4 places since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 6-3 | 11.0 |
| 9 (up 1 place since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 6-4 | 10.7 |
| 10 (down 2 places since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 6-3 | 10.6 |
| 11 (up 1 place since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 5-4 | 10.3 |
| 12 (up 3 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 6-3 | 9.9 |
| 13 (up 1 place since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 6-3 | 9.8 |
| 14 (up 4 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 5-5 | 9.2 |
| 15 (down 2 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 5-5 | 9.2 |
| 16 (down 5 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 5-5 | 9.1 |
| 17 (no change since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 5-4 | 8.6 |
| 18 (up 1 place since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 4-6 | 8.5 |
| 19 (down 3 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 4-5 | 8.5 |
| 20 (up 3 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 4-5 | 8.4 |
| 21 (up 1 place since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 5-5 | 8.0 |
| 22 (up 5 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 4-5 | 7.8 |
| 23 (down 3 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 3-6 | 7.6 |
| 24 (no change since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 4-5 | 7.5 |
| 25 (down 4 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 4-6 | 7.2 |
| 26 (up 2 places since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 3-7 | 6.9 |
| 27 (down 2 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 3-6 | 6.9 |
| 28 (down 2 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 3-6 | 6.7 |
| 29 (up 3 places since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 2-8 | 5.6 |
| 30 (up 1 place since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 2-8 | 5.1 |
| 31 (down 1 place since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 1-8 | 4.8 |
| 32 (down 3 places since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 2-8 | 4.7 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.