NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 16, 2023
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (no change since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 11-3 | 13.7 |
| 2 (up 2 places since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 11-3 | 13.3 |
| 3 (no change since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 10-4 | 12.7 |
| 4 (down 2 places since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 10-4 | 12.6 |
| 5 (no change since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 10-4 | 12.3 |
| 6 (no change since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 9-4 | 12.0 |
| 7 (no change since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 9-5 | 11.8 |
| 8 (no change since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 9-5 | 11.4 |
| 9 (up 5 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 8-6 | 10.2 |
| 10 (up 2 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 7-6 | 10.0 |
| 11 (no change since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 8-6 | 10.0 |
| 12 (down 3 places since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 8-6 | 9.9 |
| 13 (up 3 places since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 7-6 | 9.6 |
| 14 (down 4 places since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 7-6 | 9.2 |
| 15 (up 4 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 7-7 | 9.2 |
| 16 (up 2 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 7-7 | 9.2 |
| 17 (up 4 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 7-7 | 9.2 |
| 18 (down 5 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 7-6 | 9.0 |
| 19 (up 3 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 7-7 | 8.9 |
| 20 (down 5 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 7-6 | 8.6 |
| 21 (down 4 places since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 6-8 | 8.2 |
| 22 (down 2 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 6-8 | 8.0 |
| 23 (up 4 places since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 6-8 | 7.7 |
| 24 (down 1 place since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 5-9 | 7.0 |
| 25 (no change since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 5-9 | 6.9 |
| 26 (down 2 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 5-9 | 6.7 |
| 27 (down 1 place since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 5-9 | 6.7 |
| 28 (no change since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 5-9 | 6.2 |
| 29 (no change since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 4-10 | 5.3 |
| 30 (up 1 place since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-11 | 4.6 |
| 31 (down 1 place since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 3-11 | 4.4 |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 2-12 | 3.7 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.