NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 18, 2023
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (no change since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 13-3 | 14.2 |
| 2 (up 1 place since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 12-4 | 13.4 |
| 3 (up 4 places since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 11-5 | 12.4 |
| 4 (up 2 places since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 11-5 | 12.3 |
| 5 (down 3 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 11-5 | 12.3 |
| 6 (down 2 places since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 11-5 | 12.1 |
| 7 (down 2 places since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 10-5 | 12.0 |
| 8 (no change since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 10-6 | 11.3 |
| 9 (no change since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 10-6 | 11.1 |
| 10 (up 2 places since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 9-7 | 10.1 |
| 11 (down 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 9-7 | 10.1 |
| 12 (up 3 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 9-7 | 10.0 |
| 13 (up 1 place since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 8-7 | 10.0 |
| 14 (up 2 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 9-6 | 9.8 |
| 15 (down 4 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 8-8 | 9.1 |
| 16 (up 3 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 8-8 | 9.1 |
| 17 (up 3 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 8-7 | 9.0 |
| 18 (down 5 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 8-8 | 9.0 |
| 19 (up 3 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 8-8 | 9.0 |
| 20 (down 3 places since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 7-8 | 8.7 |
| 21 (down 3 places since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 7-9 | 8.0 |
| 22 (up 2 places since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 7-9 | 8.0 |
| 23 (down 2 places since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 7-8 | 8.0 |
| 24 (down 1 place since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 7-9 | 7.9 |
| 25 (no change since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 6-10 | 6.9 |
| 26 (no change since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 5-11 | 5.9 |
| 27 (no change since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 5-11 | 5.9 |
| 28 (no change since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 5-11 | 5.5 |
| 29 (up 2 places since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 4-12 | 4.9 |
| 30 (down 1 place since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 4-12 | 4.7 |
| 31 (down 1 place since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 4-12 | 4.4 |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 2-14 | 2.8 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.