NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 4, 2023

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated Tue, Sep 26, 2023 · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Week 4, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
Rank	Team	Record	Proj. winsProjected wins
1	Cleveland BrownsCLE	2-1	12.8
2	San Francisco 49ersSFO	3-0	12.6
3	Kansas City ChiefsKAN	2-1	12.5
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	2-1	12.1
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	3-0	11.5
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	3-0	11.4
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	2-1	11.4
8	Detroit LionsDET	2-1	10.5
9	New Orleans SaintsNOR	2-1	10.3
10	Green Bay PackersGNB	2-1	9.9
11	Atlanta FalconsATL	2-1	9.8
12	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	2-1	9.6
13	Houston TexansHOU	1-2	9.3
14	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1-2	9.2
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	2-1	9.2
16	Indianapolis ColtsIND	2-1	9.2
17	New England PatriotsNWE	1-2	8.9
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	2-1	8.4
19	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM	2-1	8.4
20	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1-2	7.9
21	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1-2	7.9
22	New York JetsNYJ	1-2	7.8
23	Arizona CardinalsARI	1-2	7.7
24	Tennessee TitansTEN	1-2	7.7
25	Washington CommandersWAS	2-1	7.6
26	Las Vegas RaidersLVR	1-2	7.4
27	Minnesota VikingsMIN	0-3	7.0
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	0-3	6.8
29	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1-2	6.7
30	New York GiantsNYG	1-2	6.0
31	Chicago BearsCHI	0-3	5.5
32	Denver BroncosDEN	0-3	5.0