NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 11, 2024

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Week 11, 2024: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
RankTeamRecordProj. wins
1 (no change since last week)KAN9-014.3
2 (no change since last week)DET8-113.2
3 (up 1 place since last week)BUF8-212.5
4 (up 3 places since last week)PHI7-212.2
5 (up 1 place since last week)MIN7-212.1
6 (down 3 places since last week)WAS7-311.6
7 (down 2 places since last week)BAL7-311.5
8 (up 1 place since last week)PIT7-211.5
9 (down 1 place since last week)LAC6-311.1
10 (no change since last week)GNB6-310.7
11 (up 2 places since last week)ARI6-410.4
12 (down 1 place since last week)HOU6-49.9
13 (down 1 place since last week)ATL6-49.4
14 (up 5 places since last week)SFO5-49.1
15 (down 1 place since last week)TAM4-68.9
16 (down 1 place since last week)DEN5-58.6
17 (down 1 place since last week)LAR4-57.9
18 (no change since last week)IND4-67.9
19 (up 1 place since last week)CIN4-67.6
20 (up 1 place since last week)SEA4-57.4
21 (up 4 places since last week)MIA3-67.2
22 (down 5 places since last week)CHI4-57.0
23 (up 1 place since last week)NOR3-76.4
24 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ3-75.9
25 (down 3 places since last week)DAL3-65.7
26 (no change since last week)TEN2-75.1
27 (up 3 places since last week)NWE3-74.9
28 (down 1 place since last week)NYG2-84.8
29 (no change since last week)LVR2-74.8
30 (down 2 places since last week)JAX2-84.7
31 (up 1 place since last week)CAR3-74.3
32 (down 1 place since last week)CLE2-73.6

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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