NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 16, 2024
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 1 place since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 13-1 | 14.8 |
| 2 (up 1 place since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 12-2 | 14.3 |
| 3 (down 2 places since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 12-2 | 14.1 |
| 4 (no change since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 12-2 | 13.6 |
| 5 (no change since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 11-3 | 13.4 |
| 6 (up 1 place since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 10-4 | 11.9 |
| 7 (up 1 place since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 9-5 | 11.3 |
| 8 (down 2 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 10-4 | 11.2 |
| 9 (up 1 place since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 9-5 | 10.8 |
| 10 (up 2 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 9-5 | 10.3 |
| 11 (up 3 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 8-6 | 10.3 |
| 12 (up 1 place since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 9-5 | 10.3 |
| 13 (down 4 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 8-6 | 10.0 |
| 14 (up 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 8-6 | 9.5 |
| 15 (down 4 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 8-6 | 9.4 |
| 16 (no change since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 7-7 | 8.9 |
| 17 (up 2 places since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 7-7 | 8.7 |
| 18 (down 1 place since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 6-8 | 7.9 |
| 19 (down 1 place since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 6-8 | 7.8 |
| 20 (up 1 place since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 6-8 | 7.7 |
| 21 (down 1 place since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 6-8 | 7.3 |
| 22 (up 1 place since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 6-8 | 6.7 |
| 23 (down 1 place since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 5-9 | 6.3 |
| 24 (up 3 places since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 4-10 | 5.0 |
| 25 (down 1 place since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 4-10 | 4.9 |
| 26 (down 1 place since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 3-11 | 4.3 |
| 27 (down 1 place since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 3-11 | 4.2 |
| 28 (up 1 place since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 3-11 | 3.8 |
| 29 (up 1 place since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 3-11 | 3.6 |
| 30 (down 2 places since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 3-11 | 3.6 |
| 31 (no change since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-12 | 3.2 |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 2-12 | 3.0 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.