NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 15, 2025

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Week 15, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
RankTeamRecordProj. wins
1 (no change since last week)NWE11-213.2
2 (no change since last week)DEN11-212.8
3 (no change since last week)LAR10-312.8
4 (no change since last week)SEA10-312.5
5 (no change since last week)BUF9-411.8
6 (up 4 places since last week)JAX9-411.6
7 (down 1 place since last week)GNB9-3-111.5
8 (up 3 places since last week)LAC9-411.1
9 (down 1 place since last week)SFO9-411.0
10 (down 3 places since last week)CHI9-410.8
11 (up 3 places since last week)HOU8-510.6
12 (up 1 place since last week)DET8-510.3
13 (down 1 place since last week)PHI8-510.3
14 (down 5 places since last week)IND8-510.1
15 (no change since last week)TAM7-69.0
16 (up 3 places since last week)PIT7-68.9
17 (down 1 place since last week)KAN6-78.8
18 (down 1 place since last week)CAR7-68.7
19 (up 2 places since last week)MIA6-78.2
20 (down 2 places since last week)DAL6-6-18.1
21 (down 1 place since last week)BAL6-77.9
22 (up 1 place since last week)MIN5-86.8
23 (down 1 place since last week)ATL4-96.0
24 (no change since last week)CIN4-95.5
25 (up 4 places since last week)NOR3-105.1
26 (no change since last week)CLE3-104.7
27 (down 2 places since last week)WAS3-104.5
28 (down 1 place since last week)ARI3-104.4
29 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ3-104.1
30 (no change since last week)NYG2-114.0
31 (no change since last week)LVR2-113.1
32 (no change since last week)TEN2-113.0

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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