NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 18, 2025

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Week 18, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
RankTeamRecordProj. wins
1 (no change since last week)SEA13-313.7
2 (no change since last week)NWE13-313.7
3 (no change since last week)DEN13-313.5
4 (up 2 places since last week)JAX12-412.8
5 (up 3 places since last week)SFO12-412.3
6 (down 1 place since last week)BUF11-511.9
7 (down 3 places since last week)LAR11-511.8
8 (up 2 places since last week)PHI11-511.7
9 (up 2 places since last week)HOU11-511.5
10 (down 3 places since last week)LAC11-511.5
11 (down 2 places since last week)CHI11-511.4
12 (no change since last week)GNB9-6-19.6
13 (no change since last week)PIT9-79.5
14 (no change since last week)DET8-88.6
15 (up 3 places since last week)BAL8-88.5
16 (down 1 place since last week)IND8-88.5
17 (down 1 place since last week)CAR8-88.5
18 (up 1 place since last week)MIN8-88.4
19 (up 4 places since last week)ATL7-97.5
20 (up 1 place since last week)DAL7-8-17.5
21 (down 4 places since last week)TAM7-97.5
22 (no change since last week)MIA7-97.3
23 (down 3 places since last week)KAN6-106.8
24 (up 1 place since last week)CIN6-106.5
25 (down 1 place since last week)NOR6-106.4
26 (up 1 place since last week)CLE4-124.5
27 (down 1 place since last week)WAS4-124.3
28 (up 3 places since last week)NYG3-133.5
29 (down 1 place since last week)ARI3-133.1
30 (down 1 place since last week)TEN3-133.1
31 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ3-133.1
32 (no change since last week)LVR2-142.2

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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