NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Divisional, 2025

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Divisional, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
RankTeamRecordProj. wins
1 (no change since last week)NWE14-315.6
2 (up 1 place since last week)SEA14-314.7
3 (down 1 place since last week)DEN14-314.4
4 (up 1 place since last week)LAR12-513.7
5 (up 3 places since last week)BUF12-513.6
6 (no change since last week)HOU12-513.4
7 (no change since last week)SFO12-513.3
8 (down 4 places since last week)JAX13-413.0
9 (up 1 place since last week)CHI11-612.3
10 (up 1 place since last week)LAC11-611.0
11 (down 2 places since last week)PHI11-611.0
12 (no change since last week)PIT10-710.0
13 (no change since last week)GNB9-7-19.0
14 (no change since last week)DET9-89.0
15 (no change since last week)MIN9-89.0
16 (up 4 places since last week)BAL8-98.0
17 (up 1 place since last week)IND8-98.0
18 (up 1 place since last week)TAM8-98.0
19 (down 2 places since last week)ATL8-98.0
20 (down 4 places since last week)CAR8-98.0
21 (no change since last week)DAL7-9-17.0
22 (no change since last week)MIA7-107.0
23 (up 1 place since last week)KAN6-116.0
24 (up 1 place since last week)CIN6-116.0
25 (down 2 places since last week)NOR6-116.0
26 (up 1 place since last week)CLE5-125.0
27 (down 1 place since last week)WAS5-125.0
28 (no change since last week)NYG4-134.0
29 (up 2 places since last week)LVR3-143.0
30 (up 2 places since last week)ARI3-143.0
31 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ3-143.0
32 (down 2 places since last week)TEN3-143.0

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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