NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 4, 2025

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Week 4, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
RankTeamRecordProj. wins
1IND3-011.4
2LAC3-011.4
3BUF3-011.2
4SFO3-010.8
5PHI3-010.3
6DET2-110.0
7JAX2-19.8
8GNB2-19.5
9TAM3-09.5
10PIT2-19.4
11SEA2-19.3
12MIN2-18.9
13LAR2-18.8
14CAR1-28.8
15ARI2-18.7
16KAN1-28.4
17WAS2-18.3
18ATL1-28.3
19CIN2-18.3
20DAL1-28.2
21BAL1-28.1
22NWE1-28.0
23LVR1-27.7
24CHI1-27.5
25CLE1-27.4
26DEN1-27.3
27NYJ0-36.9
28NYG0-36.4
29MIA0-36.4
30HOU0-36.1
31NOR0-35.8
32TEN0-35.6

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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