NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 17, 2023
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 1 place since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 12-3 | 13.6 |
| 2 (up 1 place since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 11-4 | 13.1 |
| 3 (down 2 places since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 11-4 | 12.9 |
| 4 (up 1 place since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 11-4 | 12.6 |
| 5 (up 1 place since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 10-4 | 12.5 |
| 6 (up 2 places since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 10-5 | 11.9 |
| 7 (down 3 places since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 10-5 | 11.9 |
| 8 (down 1 place since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 9-6 | 11.0 |
| 9 (no change since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 9-6 | 10.8 |
| 10 (up 5 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 8-7 | 9.6 |
| 11 (up 6 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 8-7 | 9.6 |
| 12 (no change since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 8-7 | 9.5 |
| 13 (up 6 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 8-7 | 9.5 |
| 14 (down 4 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 7-7 | 9.5 |
| 15 (down 4 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 8-7 | 9.4 |
| 16 (up 4 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 8-6 | 9.3 |
| 17 (down 4 places since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 7-7 | 9.3 |
| 18 (up 3 places since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 7-8 | 8.6 |
| 19 (up 3 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 7-8 | 8.6 |
| 20 (down 2 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 7-7 | 8.5 |
| 21 (down 7 places since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 7-7 | 8.5 |
| 22 (down 6 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 7-8 | 8.5 |
| 23 (no change since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 7-8 | 8.3 |
| 24 (no change since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 6-9 | 7.5 |
| 25 (up 2 places since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 6-9 | 7.5 |
| 26 (down 1 place since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 5-10 | 6.5 |
| 27 (down 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 5-10 | 6.2 |
| 28 (no change since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 5-10 | 5.8 |
| 29 (up 2 places since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 4-11 | 5.1 |
| 30 (down 1 place since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 4-11 | 5.0 |
| 31 (down 1 place since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-12 | 4.3 |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 2-13 | 3.2 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.