NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 17, 2025

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Week 17, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
RankTeamRecordProj. wins
1 (up 2 places since last week)SEA12-313.4
2 (up 2 places since last week)NWE12-313.4
3 (down 2 places since last week)DEN12-312.9
4 (down 2 places since last week)LAR11-412.7
5 (no change since last week)BUF11-412.4
6 (no change since last week)JAX11-412.4
7 (no change since last week)LAC11-412.0
8 (up 1 place since last week)SFO11-411.9
9 (down 1 place since last week)CHI11-411.8
10 (up 2 places since last week)PHI10-511.1
11 (down 1 place since last week)HOU10-511.0
12 (down 1 place since last week)GNB9-5-110.3
13 (up 2 places since last week)PIT9-610.2
14 (down 1 place since last week)DET8-79.2
15 (down 1 place since last week)IND8-78.9
16 (up 3 places since last week)CAR8-78.7
17 (down 1 place since last week)TAM7-88.0
18 (down 1 place since last week)BAL7-87.9
19 (up 3 places since last week)MIN7-87.7
20 (down 2 places since last week)KAN6-97.4
21 (no change since last week)DAL6-8-17.2
22 (down 2 places since last week)MIA6-96.9
23 (no change since last week)ATL6-96.8
24 (no change since last week)NOR5-106.1
25 (no change since last week)CIN5-105.9
26 (no change since last week)WAS4-114.7
27 (up 1 place since last week)CLE3-123.9
28 (down 1 place since last week)ARI3-123.7
29 (up 3 places since last week)TEN3-123.5
30 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ3-123.4
31 (down 1 place since last week)NYG2-133.0
32 (down 1 place since last week)LVR2-132.5

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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