NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 15, 2022

Going into Week 15

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 15, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.215[0.312, 0.079]
2no change0.110[0.158, -0.015]
3no change0.101[0.149, -0.021]
44up 4 positions0.100[0.148, -0.016]
52up 2 positions0.078[0.142, -0.012]
62down 2 positions0.067[0.125, -0.032]
72down 2 positions0.060[0.120, -0.034]
82down 2 positions0.052[0.115, -0.038]
9no change0.044[0.110, -0.038]
10no change0.032[0.103, -0.040]
11no change0.025[0.100, -0.041]
121up 1 positions0.016[0.091, -0.052]
131down 1 positions0.014[0.084, -0.056]
14no change0.012[0.082, -0.060]
151up 1 positions0.010[0.070, -0.073]
163up 3 positions-0.013[0.052, -0.090]
172down 2 positions-0.016[0.063, -0.079]
181down 1 positions-0.016[0.056, -0.084]
192up 2 positions-0.020[0.046, -0.100]
20no change-0.032[0.044, -0.099]
213down 3 positions-0.033[0.043, -0.102]
226up 6 positions-0.039[0.039, -0.107]
231up 1 positions-0.044[0.036, -0.112]
242down 2 positions-0.046[0.032, -0.111]
252up 2 positions-0.057[0.030, -0.122]
264up 4 positions-0.059[0.034, -0.116]
272down 2 positions-0.062[0.030, -0.123]
282down 2 positions-0.065[0.033, -0.123]
296down 6 positions-0.065[0.034, -0.117]
301down 1 positions-0.099[0.019, -0.147]
31no change-0.101[0.016, -0.153]
32no change-0.106[0.010, -0.159]