NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Divisional, 2023

Going into Divisional Round

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Divisional, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
New England Patriots logoNWE
1no change0.258[0.356, 0.166]
Carolina Panthers logoCAR
2no change0.240[0.322, 0.135]
New York Jets logoNYJ
3no change0.213[0.305, 0.118]
Cleveland Browns logoCLE
42up 2 positions0.186[0.260, 0.099]
New York Giants logoNYG
51down 1 positions0.181[0.262, 0.081]
Washington Commanders logoWAS
61down 1 positions0.157[0.241, 0.070]
Jacksonville Jaguars logoJAX
7no change0.128[0.213, 0.045]
Chicago Bears logoCHI
8no change0.093[0.166, -0.001]
Miami Dolphins logoMIA
91up 1 positions0.090[0.162, 0.005]
Atlanta Falcons logoATL
101down 1 positions0.065[0.148, -0.016]
Los Angeles Chargers logoLAC
11no change0.052[0.124, -0.037]
Minnesota Vikings logoMIN
12no change0.045[0.131, -0.028]
Arizona Cardinals logoARI
13no change0.036[0.117, -0.049]
Las Vegas Raiders logoLVR
141up 1 positions0.024[0.106, -0.065]
Kansas City Chiefs logoKAN
151down 1 positions0.011[0.096, -0.065]
Pittsburgh Steelers logoPIT
16no change-0.014[0.075, -0.089]
Indianapolis Colts logoIND
17no change-0.029[0.054, -0.109]
Philadelphia Eagles logoPHI
18no change-0.029[0.065, -0.097]
Denver Broncos logoDEN
191up 1 positions-0.049[0.033, -0.133]
Detroit Lions logoDET
201down 1 positions-0.061[0.037, -0.122]
Buffalo Bills logoBUF
21no change-0.073[0.012, -0.148]
Tennessee Titans logoTEN
22no change-0.092[0.013, -0.165]
Seattle Seahawks logoSEA
232up 2 positions-0.100[-0.008, -0.185]
Cincinnati Bengals logoCIN
241down 1 positions-0.101[-0.004, -0.178]
Baltimore Ravens logoBAL
255up 5 positions-0.124[-0.032, -0.208]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logoTAM
262down 2 positions-0.126[-0.025, -0.197]
New Orleans Saints logoNOR
272up 2 positions-0.126[-0.018, -0.197]
Houston Texans logoHOU
282down 2 positions-0.135[-0.046, -0.220]
Los Angeles Rams logoLAR
291down 1 positions-0.148[-0.043, -0.219]
Green Bay Packers logoGNB
303down 3 positions-0.148[-0.047, -0.225]
Dallas Cowboys logoDAL
31no change-0.158[-0.062, -0.235]
San Francisco 49ers logoSFO
32no change-0.208[-0.105, -0.292]