NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 5, 2026

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 5, 2026, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)SFO0.10-0.04 to 0.16
2 (up 5 places since last week)DAL0.09-0.04 to 0.15
3 (up 5 places since last week)JAX0.07-0.05 to 0.15
4 (up 1 place since last week)NYJ0.07-0.06 to 0.15
5 (up 5 places since last week)MIN0.06-0.05 to 0.14
6 (down 2 places since last week)DET0.05-0.06 to 0.12
7 (down 5 places since last week)ARI0.04-0.07 to 0.12
8 (up 3 places since last week)BAL0.04-0.06 to 0.12
9 (down 3 places since last week)CIN0.04-0.06 to 0.12
10 (up 3 places since last week)KAN0.02-0.08 to 0.10
11 (down 8 places since last week)WAS0.01-0.08 to 0.10
12 (down 3 places since last week)TEN0.01-0.07 to 0.11
13 (up 1 place since last week)LVR0.01-0.07 to 0.10
14 (up 9 places since last week)CAR0.01-0.08 to 0.09
15 (up 3 places since last week)DEN0.01-0.08 to 0.10
16 (down 1 place since last week)BUF0.00-0.08 to 0.09
17 (up 8 places since last week)HOU0.00-0.08 to 0.10
18 (down 6 places since last week)NYG-0.00-0.10 to 0.08
19 (up 2 places since last week)PIT-0.01-0.11 to 0.07
20 (down 1 place since last week)SEA-0.01-0.09 to 0.08
21 (down 5 places since last week)CLE-0.01-0.09 to 0.09
22 (down 2 places since last week)IND-0.03-0.11 to 0.07
23 (up 3 places since last week)NOR-0.03-0.11 to 0.06
24 (down 7 places since last week)PHI-0.03-0.12 to 0.06
25 (down 1 place since last week)CHI-0.03-0.11 to 0.06
26 (down 4 places since last week)GNB-0.04-0.12 to 0.07
27 (up 4 places since last week)ATL-0.05-0.12 to 0.06
28 (down 1 place since last week)LAR-0.06-0.14 to 0.05
29 (up 1 place since last week)NWE-0.06-0.13 to 0.06
30 (down 1 place since last week)MIA-0.07-0.14 to 0.06
31 (down 3 places since last week)TAM-0.09-0.16 to 0.05
32 (no change since last week)LAC-0.17-0.22 to 0.03