NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 15, 2024

Going into Week 15

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 15, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
11up 1 positions0.450[0.307, 0.597]
21down 1 positions0.446[0.283, 0.564]
3no change0.413[0.246, 0.530]
4no change0.404[0.251, 0.551]
5no change0.236[0.101, 0.348]
6no change0.207[0.075, 0.336]
7no change0.159[0.021, 0.255]
81up 1 positions0.156[0.028, 0.282]
92up 2 positions0.153[0.027, 0.272]
102down 2 positions0.140[-0.002, 0.249]
115up 5 positions0.065[-0.059, 0.182]
12no change0.053[-0.074, 0.166]
131up 1 positions0.050[-0.076, 0.172]
141down 1 positions0.029[-0.090, 0.142]
155down 5 positions0.021[-0.100, 0.126]
161down 1 positions-0.012[-0.131, 0.103]
174up 4 positions-0.020[-0.140, 0.094]
182up 2 positions-0.028[-0.148, 0.081]
192down 2 positions-0.037[-0.169, 0.071]
202down 2 positions-0.056[-0.189, 0.055]
212up 2 positions-0.065[-0.190, 0.051]
223down 3 positions-0.066[-0.181, 0.066]
231down 1 positions-0.107[-0.231, -0.005]
24no change-0.128[-0.253, -0.016]
25no change-0.159[-0.288, -0.042]
261up 1 positions-0.207[-0.316, -0.087]
271down 1 positions-0.229[-0.352, -0.120]
28no change-0.304[-0.425, -0.193]
29no change-0.355[-0.478, -0.247]
30no change-0.419[-0.524, -0.298]
31no change-0.443[-0.576, -0.331]
32no change-0.469[-0.586, -0.365]