NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Divisional, 2024

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Divisional, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)BAL0.540.38 to 0.63
2 (up 2 places since last week)BUF0.420.29 to 0.53
3 (up 2 places since last week)PHI0.340.21 to 0.45
4 (down 1 place since last week)WAS0.340.21 to 0.45
5 (up 1 place since last week)KAN0.280.16 to 0.39
6 (down 4 places since last week)LAC0.280.16 to 0.40
7 (no change since last week)DET0.260.16 to 0.38
8 (no change since last week)LAR0.240.13 to 0.36
9 (no change since last week)GNB0.120.02 to 0.22
10 (up 1 place since last week)TAM0.10-0.02 to 0.19
11 (up 1 place since last week)SEA0.09-0.02 to 0.21
12 (up 1 place since last week)ARI0.07-0.03 to 0.18
13 (up 1 place since last week)HOU0.05-0.06 to 0.16
14 (down 4 places since last week)MIN0.03-0.09 to 0.12
15 (no change since last week)DEN-0.00-0.10 to 0.11
16 (no change since last week)PIT-0.00-0.12 to 0.10
17 (no change since last week)SFO-0.03-0.15 to 0.06
18 (up 1 place since last week)ATL-0.04-0.15 to 0.06
19 (down 1 place since last week)CIN-0.04-0.14 to 0.07
20 (up 1 place since last week)NOR-0.08-0.19 to 0.03
21 (down 1 place since last week)CHI-0.08-0.18 to 0.03
22 (no change since last week)NYJ-0.12-0.24 to -0.03
23 (no change since last week)IND-0.15-0.27 to -0.06
24 (no change since last week)NWE-0.16-0.26 to -0.04
25 (no change since last week)NYG-0.17-0.28 to -0.06
26 (no change since last week)JAX-0.18-0.29 to -0.08
27 (no change since last week)MIA-0.21-0.31 to -0.10
28 (no change since last week)LVR-0.27-0.39 to -0.18
29 (no change since last week)CAR-0.34-0.46 to -0.24
30 (no change since last week)DAL-0.37-0.48 to -0.28
31 (no change since last week)TEN-0.47-0.56 to -0.36
32 (no change since last week)CLE-0.54-0.62 to -0.42