NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Divisional, 2024

Going into Divisional Round

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Divisional, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.543[0.383, 0.633]
22up 2 positions0.418[0.287, 0.533]
32up 2 positions0.341[0.214, 0.454]
41down 1 positions0.340[0.210, 0.447]
51up 1 positions0.281[0.157, 0.393]
64down 4 positions0.281[0.165, 0.404]
7no change0.258[0.156, 0.377]
8no change0.244[0.129, 0.359]
9no change0.119[0.018, 0.222]
101up 1 positions0.096[-0.022, 0.187]
111up 1 positions0.091[-0.018, 0.207]
121up 1 positions0.069[-0.030, 0.181]
131up 1 positions0.051[-0.063, 0.156]
144down 4 positions0.032[-0.087, 0.123]
15no change-0.001[-0.104, 0.107]
16no change-0.004[-0.116, 0.099]
17no change-0.029[-0.146, 0.056]
181up 1 positions-0.042[-0.153, 0.057]
191down 1 positions-0.043[-0.143, 0.066]
201up 1 positions-0.075[-0.188, 0.025]
211down 1 positions-0.075[-0.184, 0.034]
22no change-0.125[-0.243, -0.031]
23no change-0.155[-0.266, -0.062]
24no change-0.158[-0.258, -0.043]
25no change-0.174[-0.279, -0.064]
26no change-0.179[-0.286, -0.075]
27no change-0.214[-0.309, -0.102]
28no change-0.274[-0.387, -0.181]
29no change-0.337[-0.457, -0.240]
30no change-0.370[-0.479, -0.283]
31no change-0.465[-0.558, -0.363]
32no change-0.536[-0.622, -0.425]