NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 17, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 17, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)NYJ0.160.04 to 0.24
2 (up 2 places since last week)NYG0.13-0.00 to 0.17
3 (down 1 place since last week)NWE0.12-0.01 to 0.17
4 (down 1 place since last week)CAR0.12-0.01 to 0.16
5 (up 3 places since last week)CLE0.09-0.01 to 0.14
6 (down 1 place since last week)CHI0.08-0.01 to 0.13
7 (up 5 places since last week)JAX0.07-0.02 to 0.12
8 (down 1 place since last week)ARI0.06-0.03 to 0.12
9 (down 3 places since last week)LVR0.06-0.03 to 0.11
10 (up 1 place since last week)WAS0.05-0.03 to 0.11
11 (down 2 places since last week)LAC0.04-0.04 to 0.09
12 (up 3 places since last week)KAN0.03-0.04 to 0.09
13 (up 3 places since last week)MIN0.03-0.04 to 0.09
14 (down 1 place since last week)ATL0.02-0.05 to 0.09
15 (up 2 places since last week)IND0.01-0.06 to 0.07
16 (down 2 places since last week)MIA0.00-0.06 to 0.07
17 (down 7 places since last week)PIT-0.00-0.07 to 0.07
18 (no change since last week)DET-0.01-0.07 to 0.06
19 (up 3 places since last week)DEN-0.03-0.10 to 0.04
20 (up 5 places since last week)NOR-0.04-0.09 to 0.04
21 (no change since last week)SEA-0.04-0.10 to 0.04
22 (down 3 places since last week)PHI-0.05-0.10 to 0.04
23 (up 4 places since last week)HOU-0.05-0.11 to 0.03
24 (down 4 places since last week)GNB-0.05-0.12 to 0.03
25 (up 5 places since last week)CIN-0.05-0.12 to 0.02
26 (down 3 places since last week)BUF-0.06-0.11 to 0.03
27 (down 3 places since last week)TEN-0.08-0.13 to 0.02
28 (no change since last week)TAM-0.09-0.14 to 0.02
29 (down 3 places since last week)BAL-0.10-0.15 to 0.01
30 (down 1 place since last week)LAR-0.11-0.16 to 0.01
31 (up 1 place since last week)SFO-0.14-0.17 to 0.00
32 (down 1 place since last week)DAL-0.15-0.21 to -0.03