NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 17, 2023

Going into Week 17

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated Sat, Dec 30, 2023 · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 17, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
Team	Team	Rank	Median	50% interval
New York Jets	NYJ	1no change	0.163	[0.235, 0.040]
New York Giants	NYG	22up 2 positions	0.133	[0.173, -0.002]
New England Patriots	NWE	31down 1 positions	0.124	[0.167, -0.005]
Carolina Panthers	CAR	41down 1 positions	0.119	[0.161, -0.006]
Cleveland Browns	CLE	53up 3 positions	0.091	[0.142, -0.008]
Chicago Bears	CHI	61down 1 positions	0.078	[0.132, -0.015]
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	75up 5 positions	0.074	[0.123, -0.022]
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	81down 1 positions	0.063	[0.116, -0.028]
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	93down 3 positions	0.057	[0.113, -0.030]
Washington Commanders	WAS	101up 1 positions	0.047	[0.111, -0.029]
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	112down 2 positions	0.035	[0.092, -0.044]
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	123up 3 positions	0.028	[0.093, -0.044]
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	133up 3 positions	0.025	[0.091, -0.045]
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	141down 1 positions	0.019	[0.087, -0.050]
Indianapolis Colts	IND	152up 2 positions	0.012	[0.075, -0.059]
Miami Dolphins	MIA	162down 2 positions	0.003	[0.070, -0.064]
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	177down 7 positions	-0.003	[0.068, -0.069]
Detroit Lions	DET	18no change	-0.012	[0.056, -0.075]
Denver Broncos	DEN	193up 3 positions	-0.027	[0.040, -0.098]
New Orleans Saints	NOR	205up 5 positions	-0.038	[0.043, -0.093]
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	21no change	-0.043	[0.040, -0.102]
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	223down 3 positions	-0.045	[0.039, -0.103]
Houston Texans	HOU	234up 4 positions	-0.046	[0.029, -0.110]
Green Bay Packers	GNB	244down 4 positions	-0.050	[0.027, -0.115]
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	255up 5 positions	-0.055	[0.023, -0.120]
Buffalo Bills	BUF	263down 3 positions	-0.056	[0.034, -0.107]
Tennessee Titans	TEN	273down 3 positions	-0.079	[0.019, -0.131]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	28no change	-0.085	[0.015, -0.140]
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	293down 3 positions	-0.098	[0.008, -0.150]
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	301down 1 positions	-0.113	[0.007, -0.158]
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	311up 1 positions	-0.138	[0.004, -0.172]
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	321down 1 positions	-0.147	[-0.030, -0.211]