NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Conference, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Conference, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)NWE0.270.18 to 0.37
2 (no change since last week)CAR0.250.14 to 0.33
3 (no change since last week)NYJ0.220.12 to 0.31
4 (no change since last week)CLE0.190.11 to 0.27
5 (no change since last week)NYG0.190.10 to 0.28
6 (no change since last week)WAS0.170.08 to 0.25
7 (no change since last week)JAX0.140.05 to 0.22
8 (no change since last week)CHI0.100.01 to 0.18
9 (no change since last week)MIA0.100.02 to 0.18
10 (no change since last week)ATL0.07-0.02 to 0.15
11 (no change since last week)LAC0.06-0.03 to 0.14
12 (no change since last week)MIN0.05-0.03 to 0.14
13 (no change since last week)ARI0.04-0.05 to 0.12
14 (no change since last week)LVR0.03-0.06 to 0.12
15 (no change since last week)KAN-0.00-0.09 to 0.08
16 (no change since last week)PIT-0.01-0.09 to 0.08
17 (no change since last week)IND-0.03-0.11 to 0.06
18 (no change since last week)PHI-0.03-0.10 to 0.07
19 (no change since last week)DEN-0.05-0.14 to 0.03
20 (up 1 place since last week)BUF-0.08-0.16 to 0.00
21 (down 1 place since last week)DET-0.09-0.17 to -0.00
22 (no change since last week)TEN-0.09-0.17 to 0.01
23 (up 1 place since last week)CIN-0.10-0.17 to 0.00
24 (down 1 place since last week)SEA-0.10-0.19 to -0.01
25 (up 1 place since last week)TAM-0.13-0.20 to -0.02
26 (up 1 place since last week)NOR-0.13-0.21 to -0.03
27 (up 1 place since last week)HOU-0.14-0.22 to -0.04
28 (up 2 places since last week)GNB-0.14-0.22 to -0.05
29 (no change since last week)LAR-0.15-0.23 to -0.06
30 (down 5 places since last week)BAL-0.15-0.24 to -0.06
31 (no change since last week)DAL-0.16-0.23 to -0.06
32 (no change since last week)SFO-0.24-0.32 to -0.13