NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Conference, 2023

Going into Conference Championship

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Conference, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.270[0.372, 0.178]
2no change0.251[0.333, 0.143]
3no change0.224[0.312, 0.123]
4no change0.195[0.274, 0.113]
5no change0.192[0.281, 0.102]
6no change0.165[0.250, 0.077]
7no change0.138[0.223, 0.054]
8no change0.099[0.179, 0.010]
9no change0.098[0.184, 0.021]
10no change0.072[0.154, -0.016]
11no change0.058[0.141, -0.025]
12no change0.050[0.136, -0.028]
13no change0.040[0.122, -0.047]
14no change0.030[0.116, -0.057]
15no change-0.001[0.075, -0.088]
16no change-0.012[0.078, -0.088]
17no change-0.026[0.058, -0.113]
18no change-0.027[0.067, -0.098]
19no change-0.050[0.035, -0.141]
201up 1 positions-0.085[0.005, -0.160]
211down 1 positions-0.090[-0.005, -0.169]
22no change-0.091[0.013, -0.167]
231up 1 positions-0.103[0.005, -0.173]
241down 1 positions-0.104[-0.006, -0.186]
251up 1 positions-0.128[-0.024, -0.199]
261up 1 positions-0.131[-0.032, -0.212]
271up 1 positions-0.137[-0.040, -0.216]
282up 2 positions-0.138[-0.047, -0.220]
29no change-0.151[-0.056, -0.233]
305down 5 positions-0.153[-0.059, -0.237]
31no change-0.162[-0.060, -0.232]
32no change-0.239[-0.130, -0.321]