NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 17, 2025

Going into Week 17

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 17, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.278[0.153, 0.367]
2no change0.268[0.143, 0.371]
3no change0.208[0.082, 0.296]
4no change0.192[0.074, 0.280]
52up 2 positions0.170[0.045, 0.264]
61down 1 positions0.161[0.047, 0.258]
77up 7 positions0.129[0.018, 0.230]
85up 5 positions0.115[0.018, 0.216]
93down 3 positions0.112[0.001, 0.204]
102down 2 positions0.101[-0.010, 0.194]
112down 2 positions0.096[-0.006, 0.191]
121down 1 positions0.095[-0.003, 0.202]
133down 3 positions0.082[-0.019, 0.179]
142down 2 positions0.071[-0.035, 0.168]
15no change0.069[-0.049, 0.154]
16no change0.037[-0.058, 0.148]
17no change0.036[-0.079, 0.122]
181up 1 positions0.012[-0.082, 0.119]
191up 1 positions-0.036[-0.135, 0.065]
201up 1 positions-0.053[-0.163, 0.038]
213down 3 positions-0.057[-0.159, 0.038]
224up 4 positions-0.079[-0.186, 0.014]
23no change-0.105[-0.193, 0.007]
24no change-0.112[-0.208, -0.012]
253down 3 positions-0.118[-0.221, -0.025]
261down 1 positions-0.119[-0.206, -0.011]
27no change-0.149[-0.234, -0.034]
282up 2 positions-0.224[-0.314, -0.104]
291down 1 positions-0.226[-0.310, -0.107]
301down 1 positions-0.277[-0.372, -0.160]
31no change-0.334[-0.442, -0.232]
32no change-0.415[-0.526, -0.295]