NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Wild Card, 2024

Going into Wild Card

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Wild Card, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.494[0.359, 0.609]
21up 1 positions0.418[0.282, 0.546]
31up 1 positions0.370[0.242, 0.492]
42down 2 positions0.364[0.235, 0.484]
52up 2 positions0.300[0.167, 0.403]
6no change0.279[0.150, 0.394]
72down 2 positions0.258[0.134, 0.357]
8no change0.206[0.079, 0.311]
9no change0.172[0.056, 0.266]
10no change0.122[0.004, 0.224]
11no change0.089[-0.014, 0.204]
121up 1 positions0.089[-0.015, 0.205]
131up 1 positions0.064[-0.037, 0.181]
142down 2 positions0.063[-0.055, 0.174]
154up 4 positions0.008[-0.101, 0.118]
16no change-0.022[-0.141, 0.082]
172down 2 positions-0.038[-0.136, 0.064]
181down 1 positions-0.043[-0.148, 0.058]
191down 1 positions-0.045[-0.147, 0.062]
20no change-0.078[-0.201, 0.015]
21no change-0.082[-0.188, 0.027]
22no change-0.130[-0.250, -0.033]
232up 2 positions-0.163[-0.266, -0.062]
242up 2 positions-0.173[-0.294, -0.071]
252down 2 positions-0.179[-0.292, -0.078]
261up 1 positions-0.190[-0.288, -0.080]
273down 3 positions-0.225[-0.334, -0.125]
28no change-0.278[-0.385, -0.179]
29no change-0.345[-0.451, -0.241]
30no change-0.383[-0.473, -0.278]
31no change-0.482[-0.586, -0.386]
32no change-0.540[-0.648, -0.452]