NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Wild Card, 2024

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Wild Card, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)BAL0.490.36 to 0.61
2 (up 1 place since last week)LAC0.420.28 to 0.55
3 (up 1 place since last week)WAS0.370.24 to 0.49
4 (down 2 places since last week)BUF0.360.24 to 0.48
5 (up 2 places since last week)PHI0.300.17 to 0.40
6 (no change since last week)KAN0.280.15 to 0.39
7 (down 2 places since last week)DET0.260.13 to 0.36
8 (no change since last week)LAR0.210.08 to 0.31
9 (no change since last week)GNB0.170.06 to 0.27
10 (no change since last week)MIN0.120.00 to 0.22
11 (no change since last week)TAM0.09-0.01 to 0.20
12 (up 1 place since last week)SEA0.09-0.02 to 0.20
13 (up 1 place since last week)ARI0.06-0.04 to 0.18
14 (down 2 places since last week)HOU0.06-0.05 to 0.17
15 (up 4 places since last week)DEN0.01-0.10 to 0.12
16 (no change since last week)PIT-0.02-0.14 to 0.08
17 (down 2 places since last week)SFO-0.04-0.14 to 0.06
18 (down 1 place since last week)CIN-0.04-0.15 to 0.06
19 (down 1 place since last week)ATL-0.04-0.15 to 0.06
20 (no change since last week)CHI-0.08-0.20 to 0.02
21 (no change since last week)NOR-0.08-0.19 to 0.03
22 (no change since last week)NYJ-0.13-0.25 to -0.03
23 (up 2 places since last week)IND-0.16-0.27 to -0.06
24 (up 2 places since last week)NWE-0.17-0.29 to -0.07
25 (down 2 places since last week)NYG-0.18-0.29 to -0.08
26 (up 1 place since last week)JAX-0.19-0.29 to -0.08
27 (down 3 places since last week)MIA-0.23-0.33 to -0.13
28 (no change since last week)LVR-0.28-0.39 to -0.18
29 (no change since last week)CAR-0.35-0.45 to -0.24
30 (no change since last week)DAL-0.38-0.47 to -0.28
31 (no change since last week)TEN-0.48-0.59 to -0.39
32 (no change since last week)CLE-0.54-0.65 to -0.45