NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 18, 2025

Going into Week 18

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 18, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
11up 1 positions0.251[0.126, 0.338]
21down 1 positions0.216[0.118, 0.319]
3no change0.189[0.071, 0.283]
41up 1 positions0.184[0.071, 0.287]
53up 3 positions0.152[0.047, 0.242]
64up 4 positions0.129[0.017, 0.218]
76up 6 positions0.113[0.020, 0.210]
87up 7 positions0.106[0.005, 0.204]
93down 3 positions0.100[0.002, 0.201]
102up 2 positions0.098[0.000, 0.197]
114down 4 positions0.095[-0.019, 0.181]
121down 1 positions0.084[-0.019, 0.171]
134down 4 positions0.082[-0.013, 0.176]
1410down 10 positions0.082[-0.015, 0.179]
151down 1 positions0.080[-0.028, 0.161]
162up 2 positions0.066[-0.030, 0.163]
171down 1 positions0.059[-0.042, 0.159]
181down 1 positions0.017[-0.084, 0.104]
191up 1 positions-0.013[-0.099, 0.097]
201up 1 positions-0.020[-0.122, 0.064]
212down 2 positions-0.031[-0.117, 0.071]
222up 2 positions-0.049[-0.150, 0.038]
23no change-0.056[-0.155, 0.039]
241up 1 positions-0.086[-0.166, 0.023]
251up 1 positions-0.131[-0.219, -0.034]
261up 1 positions-0.136[-0.238, -0.042]
275down 5 positions-0.162[-0.255, -0.060]
281up 1 positions-0.191[-0.285, -0.086]
291down 1 positions-0.258[-0.361, -0.153]
30no change-0.294[-0.404, -0.196]
31no change-0.306[-0.396, -0.197]
32no change-0.437[-0.550, -0.328]