NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 18, 2025

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 18, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (up 1 place since last week)HOU0.250.13 to 0.34
2 (down 1 place since last week)LAR0.220.12 to 0.32
3 (no change since last week)KAN0.190.07 to 0.28
4 (up 1 place since last week)PHI0.180.07 to 0.29
5 (up 3 places since last week)SFO0.150.05 to 0.24
6 (up 4 places since last week)NWE0.130.02 to 0.22
7 (up 6 places since last week)DAL0.110.02 to 0.21
8 (up 7 places since last week)CHI0.110.01 to 0.20
9 (down 3 places since last week)GNB0.100.00 to 0.20
10 (up 2 places since last week)DEN0.100.00 to 0.20
11 (down 4 places since last week)PIT0.09-0.02 to 0.18
12 (down 1 place since last week)IND0.08-0.02 to 0.17
13 (down 4 places since last week)SEA0.08-0.01 to 0.18
14 (down 10 places since last week)DET0.08-0.01 to 0.18
15 (down 1 place since last week)BUF0.08-0.03 to 0.16
16 (up 2 places since last week)CIN0.07-0.03 to 0.16
17 (down 1 place since last week)LAC0.06-0.04 to 0.16
18 (down 1 place since last week)JAX0.02-0.08 to 0.10
19 (up 1 place since last week)WAS-0.01-0.10 to 0.10
20 (up 1 place since last week)ATL-0.02-0.12 to 0.06
21 (down 2 places since last week)ARI-0.03-0.12 to 0.07
22 (up 2 places since last week)BAL-0.05-0.15 to 0.04
23 (no change since last week)MIA-0.06-0.15 to 0.04
24 (up 1 place since last week)NYG-0.09-0.17 to 0.02
25 (up 1 place since last week)TAM-0.13-0.22 to -0.03
26 (up 1 place since last week)TEN-0.14-0.24 to -0.04
27 (down 5 places since last week)CAR-0.16-0.26 to -0.06
28 (up 1 place since last week)MIN-0.19-0.29 to -0.09
29 (down 1 place since last week)LVR-0.26-0.36 to -0.15
30 (no change since last week)NYJ-0.29-0.40 to -0.20
31 (no change since last week)NOR-0.31-0.40 to -0.20
32 (no change since last week)CLE-0.44-0.55 to -0.33