NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 16, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 16, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (up 2 places since last week)NYJ0.220.10 to 0.31
2 (no change since last week)NWE0.200.09 to 0.29
3 (down 2 places since last week)CAR0.180.08 to 0.28
4 (no change since last week)NYG0.150.04 to 0.24
5 (up 1 place since last week)CHI0.120.00 to 0.18
6 (down 1 place since last week)LVR0.10-0.01 to 0.17
7 (no change since last week)ARI0.10-0.01 to 0.16
8 (no change since last week)CLE0.10-0.00 to 0.16
9 (up 4 places since last week)LAC0.07-0.03 to 0.13
10 (up 8 places since last week)PIT0.07-0.03 to 0.14
11 (down 2 places since last week)WAS0.06-0.02 to 0.14
12 (down 2 places since last week)JAX0.06-0.03 to 0.13
13 (up 1 place since last week)ATL0.06-0.03 to 0.14
14 (down 3 places since last week)MIA0.02-0.06 to 0.10
15 (up 2 places since last week)KAN0.01-0.07 to 0.10
16 (down 1 place since last week)MIN0.00-0.07 to 0.09
17 (down 1 place since last week)IND0.00-0.07 to 0.09
18 (down 6 places since last week)DET-0.03-0.10 to 0.06
19 (up 1 place since last week)PHI-0.04-0.12 to 0.05
20 (up 2 places since last week)GNB-0.04-0.12 to 0.05
21 (down 2 places since last week)SEA-0.04-0.11 to 0.05
22 (down 1 place since last week)DEN-0.06-0.13 to 0.04
23 (no change since last week)BUF-0.08-0.16 to 0.01
24 (no change since last week)TEN-0.08-0.15 to 0.02
25 (no change since last week)NOR-0.09-0.16 to 0.02
26 (up 1 place since last week)BAL-0.10-0.16 to 0.01
27 (up 1 place since last week)HOU-0.11-0.17 to 0.01
28 (down 2 places since last week)TAM-0.11-0.18 to 0.00
29 (up 1 place since last week)LAR-0.12-0.18 to 0.00
30 (down 1 place since last week)CIN-0.13-0.20 to -0.01
31 (no change since last week)DAL-0.18-0.26 to -0.06
32 (no change since last week)SFO-0.26-0.34 to -0.12