NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 16, 2023

Going into Week 16

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated Wed, Dec 20, 2023 · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 16, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
Team	Team	Rank	Median	50% interval
New York Jets	NYJ	12up 2 positions	0.220	[0.309, 0.099]
New England Patriots	NWE	2no change	0.199	[0.289, 0.089]
Carolina Panthers	CAR	32down 2 positions	0.183	[0.276, 0.080]
New York Giants	NYG	4no change	0.151	[0.236, 0.044]
Chicago Bears	CHI	51up 1 positions	0.122	[0.176, 0.000]
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	61down 1 positions	0.102	[0.170, -0.008]
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	7no change	0.100	[0.162, -0.011]
Cleveland Browns	CLE	8no change	0.100	[0.164, -0.002]
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	94up 4 positions	0.069	[0.132, -0.031]
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	108up 8 positions	0.068	[0.145, -0.025]
Washington Commanders	WAS	112down 2 positions	0.062	[0.139, -0.024]
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	122down 2 positions	0.060	[0.133, -0.026]
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	131up 1 positions	0.057	[0.139, -0.026]
Miami Dolphins	MIA	143down 3 positions	0.022	[0.098, -0.059]
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	152up 2 positions	0.012	[0.095, -0.067]
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	161down 1 positions	0.004	[0.093, -0.067]
Indianapolis Colts	IND	171down 1 positions	0.004	[0.092, -0.069]
Detroit Lions	DET	186down 6 positions	-0.034	[0.055, -0.103]
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	191up 1 positions	-0.039	[0.048, -0.116]
Green Bay Packers	GNB	202up 2 positions	-0.039	[0.047, -0.120]
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	212down 2 positions	-0.041	[0.050, -0.114]
Denver Broncos	DEN	221down 1 positions	-0.060	[0.038, -0.129]
Buffalo Bills	BUF	23no change	-0.082	[0.010, -0.157]
Tennessee Titans	TEN	24no change	-0.084	[0.022, -0.152]
New Orleans Saints	NOR	25no change	-0.091	[0.016, -0.164]
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	261up 1 positions	-0.100	[0.009, -0.164]
Houston Texans	HOU	271up 1 positions	-0.107	[0.006, -0.174]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	282down 2 positions	-0.111	[0.004, -0.175]
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	291up 1 positions	-0.124	[0.002, -0.184]
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	301down 1 positions	-0.135	[-0.014, -0.203]
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	31no change	-0.180	[-0.063, -0.259]
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	32no change	-0.257	[-0.116, -0.340]