NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 4, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated Tue, Sep 26, 2023 · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 4, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
Rank	Team	Median	50% interval
1	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	0.13	-0.04 to 0.19
2	Chicago BearsCHI	0.08	-0.06 to 0.14
3	New England PatriotsNWE	0.06	-0.05 to 0.14
4	Washington CommandersWAS	0.05	-0.06 to 0.13
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	0.05	-0.06 to 0.13
6	Cleveland BrownsCLE	0.05	-0.07 to 0.12
7	New York GiantsNYG	0.04	-0.07 to 0.12
8	Buffalo BillsBUF	0.02	-0.07 to 0.11
9	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	0.02	-0.07 to 0.11
10	Los Angeles RamsLAR	0.02	-0.08 to 0.10
11	New York JetsNYJ	0.01	-0.08 to 0.09
12	Las Vegas RaidersLVR	0.01	-0.07 to 0.11
13	Indianapolis ColtsIND	0.01	-0.08 to 0.10
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	0.01	-0.08 to 0.10
15	Detroit LionsDET	0.01	-0.08 to 0.09
16	Kansas City ChiefsKAN	0.00	-0.08 to 0.09
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	0.00	-0.08 to 0.09
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	-0.01	-0.10 to 0.07
19	Tennessee TitansTEN	-0.01	-0.10 to 0.08
20	Houston TexansHOU	-0.02	-0.10 to 0.07
21	Denver BroncosDEN	-0.02	-0.11 to 0.06
22	Green Bay PackersGNB	-0.02	-0.10 to 0.07
23	Baltimore RavensBAL	-0.02	-0.10 to 0.07
24	Miami DolphinsMIA	-0.02	-0.11 to 0.06
25	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	-0.03	-0.11 to 0.07
26	Dallas CowboysDAL	-0.04	-0.12 to 0.06
27	Arizona CardinalsARI	-0.04	-0.13 to 0.06
28	New Orleans SaintsNOR	-0.04	-0.12 to 0.07
29	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM	-0.05	-0.13 to 0.06
30	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	-0.06	-0.13 to 0.06
31	Seattle SeahawksSEA	-0.07	-0.14 to 0.06
32	San Francisco 49ersSFO	-0.09	-0.16 to 0.05