NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 4, 2023

Going into Week 4

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 4, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
10.135[0.191, -0.041]
20.080[0.143, -0.057]
30.061[0.142, -0.046]
40.051[0.132, -0.058]
50.050[0.131, -0.055]
60.045[0.118, -0.067]
70.035[0.117, -0.066]
80.024[0.107, -0.072]
90.016[0.109, -0.069]
100.015[0.097, -0.077]
110.015[0.095, -0.083]
120.013[0.110, -0.067]
130.011[0.099, -0.076]
140.008[0.098, -0.075]
150.005[0.092, -0.080]
160.004[0.090, -0.080]
170.004[0.090, -0.077]
18-0.012[0.073, -0.102]
19-0.014[0.078, -0.102]
20-0.015[0.075, -0.098]
21-0.016[0.064, -0.107]
22-0.016[0.074, -0.100]
23-0.017[0.073, -0.104]
24-0.020[0.064, -0.111]
25-0.029[0.071, -0.112]
26-0.036[0.059, -0.122]
27-0.038[0.055, -0.128]
28-0.040[0.067, -0.122]
29-0.051[0.060, -0.133]
30-0.059[0.061, -0.130]
31-0.074[0.061, -0.139]
32-0.092[0.052, -0.156]