NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Wild Card, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Wild Card, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (up 2 places since last week)NWE0.230.13 to 0.32
2 (down 1 place since last week)CAR0.210.10 to 0.29
3 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ0.190.10 to 0.28
4 (no change since last week)NYG0.160.05 to 0.23
5 (up 2 places since last week)WAS0.130.04 to 0.20
6 (down 1 place since last week)CLE0.130.05 to 0.21
7 (up 1 place since last week)JAX0.110.03 to 0.19
8 (down 2 places since last week)CHI0.08-0.00 to 0.15
9 (up 1 place since last week)ATL0.06-0.03 to 0.12
10 (up 4 places since last week)MIA0.05-0.03 to 0.12
11 (no change since last week)LAC0.04-0.04 to 0.12
12 (no change since last week)MIN0.04-0.04 to 0.11
13 (down 4 places since last week)ARI0.03-0.06 to 0.10
14 (up 1 place since last week)KAN0.02-0.06 to 0.09
15 (down 2 places since last week)LVR0.02-0.05 to 0.10
16 (up 2 places since last week)PIT-0.02-0.10 to 0.06
17 (down 1 place since last week)IND-0.03-0.10 to 0.05
18 (up 6 places since last week)PHI-0.03-0.11 to 0.05
19 (down 2 places since last week)DET-0.04-0.11 to 0.04
20 (down 1 place since last week)DEN-0.04-0.11 to 0.05
21 (up 1 place since last week)BUF-0.06-0.13 to 0.03
22 (up 5 places since last week)TEN-0.08-0.16 to 0.01
23 (down 3 places since last week)CIN-0.09-0.15 to 0.01
24 (up 2 places since last week)TAM-0.09-0.16 to 0.00
25 (down 4 places since last week)SEA-0.09-0.16 to 0.01
26 (down 3 places since last week)HOU-0.10-0.16 to 0.00
27 (up 1 place since last week)GNB-0.10-0.17 to -0.01
28 (up 1 place since last week)LAR-0.10-0.17 to -0.00
29 (down 4 places since last week)NOR-0.11-0.17 to -0.00
30 (no change since last week)BAL-0.12-0.19 to -0.03
31 (no change since last week)DAL-0.16-0.23 to -0.06
32 (no change since last week)SFO-0.19-0.27 to -0.08