NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Wild Card, 2023

Going into Wild Card

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Wild Card, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
New England Patriots logoNWE
12up 2 positions0.229[0.322, 0.128]
Carolina Panthers logoCAR
21down 1 positions0.212[0.289, 0.100]
New York Jets logoNYJ
31down 1 positions0.187[0.279, 0.096]
New York Giants logoNYG
4no change0.160[0.228, 0.055]
Washington Commanders logoWAS
52up 2 positions0.135[0.204, 0.040]
Cleveland Browns logoCLE
61down 1 positions0.135[0.210, 0.048]
Jacksonville Jaguars logoJAX
71up 1 positions0.113[0.188, 0.028]
Chicago Bears logoCHI
82down 2 positions0.082[0.155, -0.003]
Atlanta Falcons logoATL
91up 1 positions0.056[0.124, -0.035]
Miami Dolphins logoMIA
104up 4 positions0.049[0.120, -0.027]
Los Angeles Chargers logoLAC
11no change0.043[0.115, -0.040]
Minnesota Vikings logoMIN
12no change0.036[0.113, -0.038]
Arizona Cardinals logoARI
134down 4 positions0.025[0.098, -0.057]
Kansas City Chiefs logoKAN
141up 1 positions0.021[0.092, -0.061]
Las Vegas Raiders logoLVR
152down 2 positions0.018[0.102, -0.054]
Pittsburgh Steelers logoPIT
162up 2 positions-0.025[0.058, -0.096]
Indianapolis Colts logoIND
171down 1 positions-0.025[0.053, -0.099]
Philadelphia Eagles logoPHI
186up 6 positions-0.032[0.047, -0.109]
Detroit Lions logoDET
192down 2 positions-0.036[0.042, -0.109]
Denver Broncos logoDEN
201down 1 positions-0.043[0.046, -0.111]
Buffalo Bills logoBUF
211up 1 positions-0.056[0.026, -0.127]
Tennessee Titans logoTEN
225up 5 positions-0.078[0.011, -0.156]
Cincinnati Bengals logoCIN
233down 3 positions-0.089[0.014, -0.149]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logoTAM
242up 2 positions-0.090[0.002, -0.161]
Seattle Seahawks logoSEA
254down 4 positions-0.093[0.009, -0.158]
Houston Texans logoHOU
263down 3 positions-0.097[0.002, -0.160]
Green Bay Packers logoGNB
271up 1 positions-0.098[-0.005, -0.170]
Los Angeles Rams logoLAR
281up 1 positions-0.099[-0.001, -0.166]
New Orleans Saints logoNOR
294down 4 positions-0.112[-0.001, -0.172]
Baltimore Ravens logoBAL
30no change-0.115[-0.026, -0.195]
Dallas Cowboys logoDAL
31no change-0.161[-0.056, -0.232]
San Francisco 49ers logoSFO
32no change-0.191[-0.082, -0.268]