NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 5, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 5, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (up 1 place since last week)CHI0.20-0.03 to 0.25
2 (up 5 places since last week)NYG0.19-0.03 to 0.25
3 (no change since last week)NWE0.16-0.04 to 0.21
4 (down 3 places since last week)JAX0.13-0.04 to 0.19
5 (up 4 places since last week)PIT0.09-0.04 to 0.17
6 (no change since last week)CLE0.09-0.04 to 0.17
7 (down 2 places since last week)CAR0.08-0.05 to 0.17
8 (up 4 places since last week)LVR0.06-0.06 to 0.15
9 (up 8 places since last week)MIN0.04-0.06 to 0.13
10 (up 8 places since last week)ATL0.02-0.07 to 0.12
11 (up 2 places since last week)IND0.01-0.08 to 0.10
12 (down 8 places since last week)WAS0.01-0.09 to 0.10
13 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ0.00-0.10 to 0.09
14 (up 10 places since last week)MIA0.00-0.08 to 0.10
15 (up 7 places since last week)GNB-0.00-0.10 to 0.10
16 (down 1 place since last week)DET-0.01-0.10 to 0.09
17 (down 7 places since last week)LAR-0.01-0.11 to 0.08
18 (down 2 places since last week)KAN-0.02-0.11 to 0.08
19 (up 6 places since last week)CIN-0.02-0.11 to 0.09
20 (down 6 places since last week)PHI-0.03-0.12 to 0.08
21 (down 13 places since last week)BUF-0.03-0.11 to 0.08
22 (up 6 places since last week)NOR-0.03-0.12 to 0.08
23 (down 2 places since last week)DEN-0.03-0.13 to 0.07
24 (down 5 places since last week)TEN-0.04-0.11 to 0.08
25 (down 2 places since last week)BAL-0.04-0.13 to 0.07
26 (down 6 places since last week)HOU-0.05-0.14 to 0.06
27 (up 2 places since last week)TAM-0.05-0.14 to 0.06
28 (up 2 places since last week)LAC-0.08-0.15 to 0.06
29 (down 2 places since last week)ARI-0.08-0.16 to 0.05
30 (down 4 places since last week)DAL-0.09-0.16 to 0.06
31 (no change since last week)SEA-0.11-0.18 to 0.05
32 (no change since last week)SFO-0.19-0.24 to 0.04