NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 14, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 14, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)NWE0.14-0.01 to 0.18
2 (up 5 places since last week)NYJ0.12-0.01 to 0.16
3 (down 1 place since last week)NYG0.10-0.01 to 0.15
4 (down 1 place since last week)CAR0.10-0.02 to 0.14
5 (no change since last week)CHI0.10-0.01 to 0.14
6 (no change since last week)LVR0.08-0.01 to 0.14
7 (down 3 places since last week)ARI0.08-0.02 to 0.12
8 (no change since last week)CLE0.04-0.03 to 0.10
9 (up 1 place since last week)WAS0.04-0.04 to 0.09
10 (down 1 place since last week)ATL0.03-0.05 to 0.09
11 (no change since last week)MIA0.02-0.05 to 0.07
12 (up 2 places since last week)MIN0.01-0.05 to 0.08
13 (down 1 place since last week)JAX0.01-0.05 to 0.08
14 (up 1 place since last week)IND-0.00-0.07 to 0.06
15 (down 2 places since last week)DET-0.01-0.08 to 0.05
16 (up 3 places since last week)SEA-0.01-0.07 to 0.06
17 (up 3 places since last week)DEN-0.01-0.08 to 0.05
18 (up 3 places since last week)KAN-0.01-0.08 to 0.06
19 (down 2 places since last week)LAC-0.02-0.08 to 0.05
20 (up 3 places since last week)BUF-0.02-0.08 to 0.04
21 (down 5 places since last week)GNB-0.02-0.09 to 0.05
22 (down 4 places since last week)PHI-0.03-0.09 to 0.05
23 (up 2 places since last week)PIT-0.03-0.09 to 0.04
24 (no change since last week)TAM-0.04-0.11 to 0.03
25 (up 3 places since last week)NOR-0.04-0.10 to 0.04
26 (no change since last week)TEN-0.04-0.10 to 0.04
27 (no change since last week)BAL-0.05-0.10 to 0.04
28 (down 6 places since last week)LAR-0.05-0.11 to 0.03
29 (no change since last week)CIN-0.07-0.11 to 0.03
30 (no change since last week)HOU-0.09-0.14 to 0.02
31 (no change since last week)DAL-0.11-0.15 to 0.01
32 (no change since last week)SFO-0.15-0.18 to 0.01