NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 14, 2023

Going into Week 14

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 14, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.145[0.175, -0.014]
25up 5 positions0.115[0.157, -0.013]
31down 1 positions0.105[0.152, -0.014]
41down 1 positions0.104[0.144, -0.020]
5no change0.098[0.144, -0.012]
6no change0.082[0.136, -0.015]
73down 3 positions0.076[0.124, -0.023]
8no change0.044[0.104, -0.031]
91up 1 positions0.038[0.094, -0.038]
101down 1 positions0.030[0.088, -0.046]
11no change0.016[0.074, -0.052]
122up 2 positions0.010[0.078, -0.051]
131down 1 positions0.009[0.080, -0.050]
141up 1 positions-0.004[0.062, -0.067]
152down 2 positions-0.009[0.049, -0.077]
163up 3 positions-0.009[0.061, -0.069]
173up 3 positions-0.011[0.055, -0.077]
183up 3 positions-0.014[0.055, -0.078]
192down 2 positions-0.018[0.051, -0.079]
203up 3 positions-0.021[0.045, -0.084]
215down 5 positions-0.022[0.049, -0.086]
224down 4 positions-0.026[0.045, -0.088]
232up 2 positions-0.030[0.043, -0.094]
24no change-0.040[0.034, -0.105]
253up 3 positions-0.041[0.036, -0.103]
26no change-0.042[0.039, -0.100]
27no change-0.048[0.036, -0.102]
286down 6 positions-0.053[0.027, -0.112]
29no change-0.067[0.031, -0.115]
30no change-0.089[0.021, -0.136]
31no change-0.105[0.013, -0.147]
32no change-0.154[0.009, -0.185]