NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Divisional, 2022

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Divisional, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)IND0.270.16 to 0.36
2 (no change since last week)ARI0.170.07 to 0.25
3 (no change since last week)GNB0.160.07 to 0.25
4 (no change since last week)CHI0.140.04 to 0.21
5 (no change since last week)HOU0.110.01 to 0.18
6 (no change since last week)CLE0.09-0.00 to 0.15
7 (up 1 place since last week)BAL0.05-0.03 to 0.12
8 (down 1 place since last week)CAR0.03-0.05 to 0.11
9 (no change since last week)NYJ0.03-0.05 to 0.10
10 (no change since last week)NOR0.03-0.05 to 0.10
11 (up 4 places since last week)JAX0.02-0.05 to 0.10
12 (down 1 place since last week)NWE0.02-0.06 to 0.09
13 (down 1 place since last week)TAM0.02-0.06 to 0.09
14 (no change since last week)MIA0.02-0.06 to 0.08
15 (down 2 places since last week)WAS0.01-0.06 to 0.09
16 (no change since last week)TEN0.00-0.07 to 0.08
17 (no change since last week)LAR-0.00-0.08 to 0.07
18 (up 1 place since last week)LVR-0.02-0.09 to 0.06
19 (down 1 place since last week)LAC-0.02-0.09 to 0.05
20 (up 3 places since last week)BUF-0.04-0.10 to 0.05
21 (down 1 place since last week)MIN-0.04-0.11 to 0.04
22 (no change since last week)DEN-0.05-0.13 to 0.03
23 (up 2 places since last week)PHI-0.06-0.12 to 0.03
24 (down 3 places since last week)SFO-0.06-0.14 to 0.01
25 (up 1 place since last week)SEA-0.07-0.13 to 0.02
26 (down 2 places since last week)DAL-0.08-0.14 to 0.02
27 (no change since last week)ATL-0.08-0.15 to 0.01
28 (no change since last week)CIN-0.09-0.15 to 0.01
29 (no change since last week)DET-0.09-0.15 to 0.01
30 (no change since last week)NYG-0.12-0.18 to -0.01
31 (no change since last week)PIT-0.14-0.20 to -0.02
32 (no change since last week)KAN-0.18-0.25 to -0.06