NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Divisional, 2022

Going into Divisional Round

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Divisional, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.268[0.364, 0.164]
2no change0.170[0.250, 0.073]
3no change0.159[0.246, 0.068]
4no change0.141[0.206, 0.039]
5no change0.114[0.177, 0.011]
6no change0.091[0.154, -0.003]
71up 1 positions0.046[0.116, -0.034]
81down 1 positions0.034[0.105, -0.046]
9no change0.034[0.099, -0.050]
10no change0.027[0.101, -0.050]
114up 4 positions0.023[0.098, -0.051]
121down 1 positions0.022[0.092, -0.061]
131down 1 positions0.019[0.087, -0.060]
14no change0.017[0.084, -0.063]
152down 2 positions0.012[0.092, -0.057]
16no change0.004[0.075, -0.073]
17no change-0.002[0.072, -0.083]
181up 1 positions-0.020[0.065, -0.088]
191down 1 positions-0.023[0.052, -0.095]
203up 3 positions-0.035[0.050, -0.095]
211down 1 positions-0.036[0.039, -0.107]
22no change-0.047[0.028, -0.125]
232up 2 positions-0.056[0.029, -0.123]
243down 3 positions-0.064[0.014, -0.139]
251up 1 positions-0.070[0.022, -0.132]
262down 2 positions-0.078[0.017, -0.140]
27no change-0.082[0.008, -0.153]
28no change-0.086[0.008, -0.150]
29no change-0.091[0.011, -0.148]
30no change-0.121[-0.013, -0.183]
31no change-0.136[-0.024, -0.203]
32no change-0.176[-0.061, -0.251]