NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Divisional, 2025

Going into Divisional Round

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Divisional, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.121[-0.004, 0.154]
25up 5 positions0.087[-0.014, 0.126]
31down 1 positions0.074[-0.021, 0.113]
41down 1 positions0.063[-0.024, 0.106]
56up 6 positions0.047[-0.027, 0.096]
68up 8 positions0.046[-0.025, 0.099]
73down 3 positions0.039[-0.025, 0.096]
8no change0.034[-0.034, 0.088]
96up 6 positions0.032[-0.036, 0.082]
104down 4 positions0.031[-0.038, 0.086]
118up 8 positions0.026[-0.038, 0.079]
123down 3 positions0.024[-0.037, 0.081]
131down 1 positions0.019[-0.045, 0.073]
141down 1 positions0.015[-0.043, 0.073]
1510down 10 positions0.015[-0.046, 0.075]
16no change0.009[-0.048, 0.071]
175up 5 positions0.003[-0.057, 0.056]
188down 8 positions0.001[-0.061, 0.058]
192down 2 positions-0.003[-0.065, 0.050]
204up 4 positions-0.003[-0.056, 0.059]
213down 3 positions-0.007[-0.064, 0.051]
221down 1 positions-0.010[-0.066, 0.050]
233down 3 positions-0.012[-0.070, 0.046]
241down 1 positions-0.019[-0.071, 0.047]
25no change-0.044[-0.097, 0.026]
262up 2 positions-0.050[-0.103, 0.023]
274up 4 positions-0.061[-0.108, 0.018]
282down 2 positions-0.068[-0.111, 0.020]
292down 2 positions-0.077[-0.121, 0.013]
30no change-0.088[-0.128, 0.012]
312down 2 positions-0.146[-0.174, 0.003]
32no change-0.152[-0.175, 0.006]