NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Divisional, 2025

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Divisional, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)HOU0.12-0.00 to 0.15
2 (up 5 places since last week)GNB0.09-0.01 to 0.13
3 (down 1 place since last week)LAR0.07-0.02 to 0.11
4 (down 1 place since last week)KAN0.06-0.02 to 0.11
5 (up 6 places since last week)SFO0.05-0.03 to 0.10
6 (up 8 places since last week)BUF0.05-0.03 to 0.10
7 (down 3 places since last week)NWE0.04-0.02 to 0.10
8 (no change since last week)PIT0.03-0.03 to 0.09
9 (up 6 places since last week)CIN0.03-0.04 to 0.08
10 (down 4 places since last week)PHI0.03-0.04 to 0.09
11 (up 8 places since last week)WAS0.03-0.04 to 0.08
12 (down 3 places since last week)DET0.02-0.04 to 0.08
13 (down 1 place since last week)DAL0.02-0.05 to 0.07
14 (down 1 place since last week)IND0.02-0.04 to 0.07
15 (down 10 places since last week)DEN0.01-0.05 to 0.08
16 (no change since last week)SEA0.01-0.05 to 0.07
17 (up 5 places since last week)ARI0.00-0.06 to 0.06
18 (down 8 places since last week)CHI0.00-0.06 to 0.06
19 (down 2 places since last week)JAX-0.00-0.07 to 0.05
20 (up 4 places since last week)NYG-0.00-0.06 to 0.06
21 (down 3 places since last week)LAC-0.01-0.06 to 0.05
22 (down 1 place since last week)BAL-0.01-0.07 to 0.05
23 (down 3 places since last week)ATL-0.01-0.07 to 0.05
24 (down 1 place since last week)MIA-0.02-0.07 to 0.05
25 (no change since last week)TAM-0.04-0.10 to 0.03
26 (up 2 places since last week)MIN-0.05-0.10 to 0.02
27 (up 4 places since last week)NOR-0.06-0.11 to 0.02
28 (down 2 places since last week)TEN-0.07-0.11 to 0.02
29 (down 2 places since last week)CAR-0.08-0.12 to 0.01
30 (no change since last week)NYJ-0.09-0.13 to 0.01
31 (down 2 places since last week)LVR-0.15-0.17 to 0.00
32 (no change since last week)CLE-0.15-0.17 to 0.01