NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 12, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 12, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (up 4 places since last week)ARI0.04-0.03 to 0.07
2 (no change since last week)NYG0.03-0.03 to 0.06
3 (down 2 places since last week)CHI0.03-0.03 to 0.06
4 (down 1 place since last week)NWE0.03-0.03 to 0.06
5 (down 1 place since last week)CAR0.03-0.02 to 0.06
6 (up 1 place since last week)LVR0.03-0.03 to 0.06
7 (down 1 place since last week)JAX0.02-0.03 to 0.05
8 (no change since last week)NYJ0.02-0.03 to 0.05
9 (no change since last week)ATL0.01-0.03 to 0.04
10 (up 4 places since last week)WAS0.01-0.03 to 0.05
11 (down 1 place since last week)CLE0.00-0.04 to 0.04
12 (no change since last week)MIA0.00-0.04 to 0.04
13 (down 2 places since last week)GNB0.00-0.04 to 0.04
14 (up 4 places since last week)LAR-0.00-0.04 to 0.04
15 (up 1 place since last week)IND-0.00-0.04 to 0.04
16 (up 5 places since last week)KAN-0.00-0.04 to 0.04
17 (down 4 places since last week)BUF-0.00-0.05 to 0.03
18 (up 4 places since last week)MIN-0.00-0.04 to 0.04
19 (down 4 places since last week)DEN-0.00-0.04 to 0.04
20 (down 3 places since last week)PIT-0.01-0.05 to 0.03
21 (down 2 places since last week)PHI-0.01-0.04 to 0.04
22 (up 5 places since last week)DET-0.01-0.05 to 0.03
23 (no change since last week)TEN-0.01-0.05 to 0.03
24 (up 1 place since last week)SEA-0.01-0.04 to 0.04
25 (up 4 places since last week)TAM-0.01-0.05 to 0.03
26 (down 6 places since last week)BAL-0.01-0.05 to 0.03
27 (up 3 places since last week)LAC-0.01-0.05 to 0.03
28 (down 4 places since last week)CIN-0.02-0.05 to 0.03
29 (down 1 place since last week)NOR-0.02-0.06 to 0.03
30 (down 4 places since last week)DAL-0.02-0.05 to 0.03
31 (no change since last week)HOU-0.02-0.06 to 0.03
32 (no change since last week)SFO-0.04-0.07 to 0.02