NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 12, 2023

Going into Week 12

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 12, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
14up 4 positions0.036[0.066, -0.025]
2no change0.033[0.063, -0.026]
32down 2 positions0.033[0.064, -0.026]
41down 1 positions0.032[0.063, -0.028]
51down 1 positions0.029[0.064, -0.024]
61up 1 positions0.027[0.056, -0.029]
71down 1 positions0.017[0.053, -0.026]
8no change0.015[0.051, -0.034]
9no change0.009[0.045, -0.034]
104up 4 positions0.007[0.047, -0.031]
111down 1 positions0.005[0.043, -0.035]
12no change0.003[0.042, -0.035]
132down 2 positions0.001[0.037, -0.039]
144up 4 positions-0.001[0.037, -0.039]
151up 1 positions-0.002[0.035, -0.041]
165up 5 positions-0.002[0.038, -0.040]
174down 4 positions-0.003[0.034, -0.045]
184up 4 positions-0.004[0.042, -0.036]
194down 4 positions-0.004[0.037, -0.040]
203down 3 positions-0.005[0.035, -0.045]
212down 2 positions-0.006[0.036, -0.043]
225up 5 positions-0.008[0.032, -0.046]
23no change-0.010[0.030, -0.050]
241up 1 positions-0.012[0.036, -0.045]
254up 4 positions-0.012[0.034, -0.047]
266down 6 positions-0.015[0.028, -0.054]
273up 3 positions-0.015[0.029, -0.050]
284down 4 positions-0.016[0.032, -0.049]
291down 1 positions-0.019[0.029, -0.056]
304down 4 positions-0.020[0.030, -0.053]
31no change-0.021[0.027, -0.057]
32no change-0.042[0.024, -0.070]