NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 18, 2023

Going into Week 18

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 18, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
Carolina Panthers logoCAR
13up 3 positions0.177[0.271, 0.086]
New York Jets logoNYJ
21down 1 positions0.175[0.260, 0.074]
New England Patriots logoNWE
3no change0.163[0.238, 0.054]
New York Giants logoNYG
42down 2 positions0.160[0.239, 0.056]
Cleveland Browns logoCLE
5no change0.118[0.187, 0.028]
Chicago Bears logoCHI
6no change0.079[0.137, -0.011]
Washington Commanders logoWAS
73up 3 positions0.076[0.134, -0.016]
Jacksonville Jaguars logoJAX
81down 1 positions0.063[0.128, -0.019]
Arizona Cardinals logoARI
91down 1 positions0.053[0.117, -0.031]
Atlanta Falcons logoATL
104up 4 positions0.048[0.129, -0.019]
Los Angeles Chargers logoLAC
11no change0.042[0.116, -0.030]
Minnesota Vikings logoMIN
121up 1 positions0.040[0.109, -0.038]
Las Vegas Raiders logoLVR
134down 4 positions0.039[0.117, -0.033]
Miami Dolphins logoMIA
142up 2 positions0.036[0.102, -0.038]
Kansas City Chiefs logoKAN
153down 3 positions0.021[0.086, -0.056]
Indianapolis Colts logoIND
161down 1 positions-0.008[0.067, -0.082]
Detroit Lions logoDET
171up 1 positions-0.010[0.065, -0.072]
Pittsburgh Steelers logoPIT
181down 1 positions-0.028[0.046, -0.100]
Denver Broncos logoDEN
19no change-0.047[0.035, -0.115]
Cincinnati Bengals logoCIN
205up 5 positions-0.058[0.023, -0.131]
Seattle Seahawks logoSEA
21no change-0.059[0.023, -0.132]
Buffalo Bills logoBUF
224up 4 positions-0.064[0.029, -0.121]
Houston Texans logoHOU
23no change-0.067[0.026, -0.123]
Philadelphia Eagles logoPHI
242down 2 positions-0.067[0.018, -0.134]
New Orleans Saints logoNOR
255down 5 positions-0.070[0.016, -0.136]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logoTAM
262up 2 positions-0.070[0.021, -0.130]
Tennessee Titans logoTEN
27no change-0.076[0.021, -0.139]
Green Bay Packers logoGNB
284down 4 positions-0.078[0.010, -0.144]
Los Angeles Rams logoLAR
291up 1 positions-0.101[0.000, -0.158]
Baltimore Ravens logoBAL
301down 1 positions-0.115[-0.000, -0.166]
Dallas Cowboys logoDAL
311up 1 positions-0.154[-0.037, -0.215]
San Francisco 49ers logoSFO
321down 1 positions-0.166[-0.060, -0.240]