NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 18, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 18, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (up 3 places since last week)CAR0.180.09 to 0.27
2 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ0.180.07 to 0.26
3 (no change since last week)NWE0.160.05 to 0.24
4 (down 2 places since last week)NYG0.160.06 to 0.24
5 (no change since last week)CLE0.120.03 to 0.19
6 (no change since last week)CHI0.08-0.01 to 0.14
7 (up 3 places since last week)WAS0.08-0.02 to 0.13
8 (down 1 place since last week)JAX0.06-0.02 to 0.13
9 (down 1 place since last week)ARI0.05-0.03 to 0.12
10 (up 4 places since last week)ATL0.05-0.02 to 0.13
11 (no change since last week)LAC0.04-0.03 to 0.12
12 (up 1 place since last week)MIN0.04-0.04 to 0.11
13 (down 4 places since last week)LVR0.04-0.03 to 0.12
14 (up 2 places since last week)MIA0.04-0.04 to 0.10
15 (down 3 places since last week)KAN0.02-0.06 to 0.09
16 (down 1 place since last week)IND-0.01-0.08 to 0.07
17 (up 1 place since last week)DET-0.01-0.07 to 0.06
18 (down 1 place since last week)PIT-0.03-0.10 to 0.05
19 (no change since last week)DEN-0.05-0.12 to 0.03
20 (up 5 places since last week)CIN-0.06-0.13 to 0.02
21 (no change since last week)SEA-0.06-0.13 to 0.02
22 (up 4 places since last week)BUF-0.06-0.12 to 0.03
23 (no change since last week)HOU-0.07-0.12 to 0.03
24 (down 2 places since last week)PHI-0.07-0.13 to 0.02
25 (down 5 places since last week)NOR-0.07-0.14 to 0.02
26 (up 2 places since last week)TAM-0.07-0.13 to 0.02
27 (no change since last week)TEN-0.08-0.14 to 0.02
28 (down 4 places since last week)GNB-0.08-0.14 to 0.01
29 (up 1 place since last week)LAR-0.10-0.16 to 0.00
30 (down 1 place since last week)BAL-0.11-0.17 to -0.00
31 (up 1 place since last week)DAL-0.15-0.22 to -0.04
32 (down 1 place since last week)SFO-0.17-0.24 to -0.06