NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 15, 2025

Going into Week 15

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 15, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
12up 2 positions0.202[0.080, 0.295]
2no change0.201[0.077, 0.304]
32down 2 positions0.184[0.064, 0.278]
41up 1 positions0.162[0.042, 0.252]
52up 2 positions0.115[-0.012, 0.189]
64up 4 positions0.107[-0.018, 0.177]
71up 1 positions0.100[-0.016, 0.185]
84down 4 positions0.097[-0.016, 0.187]
92up 2 positions0.090[-0.022, 0.167]
101down 1 positions0.084[-0.027, 0.164]
111up 1 positions0.080[-0.032, 0.160]
126down 6 positions0.077[-0.034, 0.154]
13no change0.060[-0.049, 0.138]
144up 4 positions0.045[-0.062, 0.124]
151down 1 positions0.038[-0.049, 0.138]
161down 1 positions0.030[-0.070, 0.120]
173up 3 positions0.007[-0.081, 0.101]
181up 1 positions0.002[-0.100, 0.087]
192up 2 positions-0.016[-0.107, 0.078]
203down 3 positions-0.024[-0.121, 0.061]
211up 1 positions-0.024[-0.117, 0.062]
226down 6 positions-0.034[-0.124, 0.058]
233up 3 positions-0.080[-0.170, 0.022]
243up 3 positions-0.095[-0.182, 0.010]
25no change-0.106[-0.189, 0.003]
263down 3 positions-0.109[-0.179, 0.013]
273down 3 positions-0.144[-0.225, -0.015]
28no change-0.145[-0.226, -0.019]
29no change-0.187[-0.262, -0.055]
30no change-0.219[-0.312, -0.091]
311up 1 positions-0.285[-0.383, -0.155]
321down 1 positions-0.298[-0.417, -0.171]