NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 16, 2025

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 16, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)LAR0.230.11 to 0.33
2 (up 2 places since last week)HOU0.220.09 to 0.31
3 (no change since last week)KAN0.190.07 to 0.28
4 (up 2 places since last week)DET0.170.04 to 0.25
5 (down 3 places since last week)GNB0.150.04 to 0.26
6 (up 3 places since last week)SEA0.130.01 to 0.21
7 (up 1 place since last week)PHI0.130.01 to 0.23
8 (down 3 places since last week)NWE0.11-0.00 to 0.20
9 (up 3 places since last week)IND0.11-0.01 to 0.19
10 (no change since last week)DAL0.10-0.00 to 0.19
11 (down 4 places since last week)DEN0.10-0.01 to 0.19
12 (up 1 place since last week)BUF0.09-0.02 to 0.17
13 (down 2 places since last week)SFO0.08-0.02 to 0.17
14 (no change since last week)PIT0.08-0.03 to 0.18
15 (no change since last week)CHI0.05-0.05 to 0.14
16 (no change since last week)LAC0.03-0.07 to 0.12
17 (no change since last week)JAX0.00-0.09 to 0.10
18 (up 4 places since last week)ATL-0.02-0.12 to 0.07
19 (down 1 place since last week)CIN-0.03-0.13 to 0.06
20 (up 1 place since last week)ARI-0.03-0.13 to 0.06
21 (down 1 place since last week)WAS-0.05-0.15 to 0.05
22 (down 3 places since last week)NYG-0.05-0.13 to 0.05
23 (no change since last week)MIA-0.08-0.16 to 0.03
24 (no change since last week)BAL-0.10-0.19 to 0.01
25 (up 1 place since last week)TAM-0.11-0.20 to -0.01
26 (down 1 place since last week)CAR-0.12-0.21 to -0.01
27 (up 1 place since last week)TEN-0.14-0.24 to -0.04
28 (up 1 place since last week)MIN-0.19-0.28 to -0.08
29 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ-0.21-0.32 to -0.11
30 (no change since last week)LVR-0.23-0.32 to -0.11
31 (no change since last week)NOR-0.30-0.39 to -0.18
32 (no change since last week)CLE-0.37-0.49 to -0.25