NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 16, 2025

Going into Week 16

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 16, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.229[0.112, 0.329]
22up 2 positions0.217[0.088, 0.307]
3no change0.187[0.065, 0.276]
42up 2 positions0.171[0.044, 0.249]
53down 3 positions0.146[0.045, 0.255]
63up 3 positions0.129[0.009, 0.212]
71up 1 positions0.125[0.010, 0.225]
83down 3 positions0.114[-0.004, 0.199]
93up 3 positions0.109[-0.011, 0.186]
10no change0.104[-0.001, 0.194]
114down 4 positions0.100[-0.014, 0.185]
121up 1 positions0.088[-0.024, 0.168]
132down 2 positions0.085[-0.023, 0.169]
14no change0.076[-0.026, 0.177]
15no change0.050[-0.051, 0.143]
16no change0.033[-0.072, 0.125]
17no change0.001[-0.088, 0.101]
184up 4 positions-0.016[-0.117, 0.070]
191down 1 positions-0.033[-0.126, 0.065]
201up 1 positions-0.035[-0.130, 0.060]
211down 1 positions-0.047[-0.146, 0.050]
223down 3 positions-0.052[-0.133, 0.054]
23no change-0.076[-0.163, 0.032]
24no change-0.103[-0.192, 0.005]
251up 1 positions-0.112[-0.202, -0.011]
261down 1 positions-0.117[-0.210, -0.012]
271up 1 positions-0.138[-0.235, -0.036]
281up 1 positions-0.187[-0.279, -0.077]
292down 2 positions-0.215[-0.319, -0.108]
30no change-0.235[-0.324, -0.106]
31no change-0.298[-0.392, -0.182]
32no change-0.368[-0.487, -0.248]