NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Super Bowl, 2024

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Super Bowl, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)BAL0.540.42 to 0.66
2 (no change since last week)BUF0.390.27 to 0.52
3 (no change since last week)PHI0.380.24 to 0.48
4 (up 2 places since last week)KAN0.310.19 to 0.42
5 (no change since last week)LAC0.280.16 to 0.40
6 (up 1 place since last week)DET0.250.13 to 0.35
7 (up 1 place since last week)LAR0.250.13 to 0.35
8 (down 4 places since last week)WAS0.240.14 to 0.37
9 (no change since last week)GNB0.130.01 to 0.21
10 (no change since last week)TAM0.10-0.01 to 0.20
11 (no change since last week)SEA0.09-0.02 to 0.19
12 (no change since last week)ARI0.07-0.03 to 0.18
13 (no change since last week)HOU0.05-0.06 to 0.16
14 (no change since last week)MIN0.03-0.08 to 0.13
15 (no change since last week)DEN0.00-0.11 to 0.10
16 (no change since last week)PIT-0.00-0.11 to 0.11
17 (no change since last week)SFO-0.03-0.13 to 0.07
18 (no change since last week)ATL-0.04-0.15 to 0.06
19 (no change since last week)CIN-0.04-0.13 to 0.07
20 (no change since last week)NOR-0.07-0.19 to 0.03
21 (no change since last week)CHI-0.07-0.18 to 0.04
22 (no change since last week)NYJ-0.12-0.23 to -0.01
23 (no change since last week)IND-0.15-0.25 to -0.05
24 (no change since last week)NWE-0.16-0.28 to -0.06
25 (no change since last week)NYG-0.17-0.27 to -0.05
26 (no change since last week)JAX-0.17-0.27 to -0.06
27 (no change since last week)MIA-0.22-0.32 to -0.12
28 (no change since last week)LVR-0.27-0.38 to -0.17
29 (no change since last week)CAR-0.33-0.43 to -0.21
30 (no change since last week)DAL-0.36-0.46 to -0.27
31 (no change since last week)TEN-0.46-0.56 to -0.37
32 (no change since last week)CLE-0.53-0.63 to -0.44