NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Super Bowl, 2024

Going into Super Bowl

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Super Bowl, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.542[0.419, 0.663]
2no change0.394[0.275, 0.516]
3no change0.376[0.245, 0.481]
42up 2 positions0.308[0.186, 0.421]
5no change0.281[0.164, 0.404]
61up 1 positions0.255[0.135, 0.355]
71up 1 positions0.246[0.126, 0.353]
84down 4 positions0.244[0.141, 0.366]
9no change0.125[0.014, 0.215]
10no change0.097[-0.009, 0.198]
11no change0.091[-0.025, 0.194]
12no change0.071[-0.025, 0.185]
13no change0.049[-0.061, 0.157]
14no change0.033[-0.075, 0.130]
15no change0.000[-0.111, 0.103]
16no change-0.003[-0.113, 0.105]
17no change-0.029[-0.128, 0.075]
18no change-0.039[-0.152, 0.061]
19no change-0.041[-0.135, 0.068]
20no change-0.073[-0.186, 0.025]
21no change-0.075[-0.181, 0.037]
22no change-0.121[-0.230, -0.008]
23no change-0.152[-0.251, -0.050]
24no change-0.158[-0.282, -0.064]
25no change-0.167[-0.270, -0.055]
26no change-0.173[-0.269, -0.064]
27no change-0.216[-0.324, -0.118]
28no change-0.267[-0.377, -0.174]
29no change-0.329[-0.427, -0.215]
30no change-0.362[-0.457, -0.266]
31no change-0.458[-0.564, -0.366]
32no change-0.527[-0.633, -0.436]