NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Conference, 2022

Going into Conference Championship

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Conference, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.289[0.392, 0.194]
2no change0.186[0.262, 0.080]
3no change0.174[0.250, 0.071]
4no change0.153[0.228, 0.054]
5no change0.126[0.210, 0.040]
6no change0.101[0.169, 0.006]
7no change0.051[0.132, -0.023]
81up 1 positions0.040[0.110, -0.044]
91down 1 positions0.037[0.112, -0.048]
10no change0.031[0.105, -0.054]
11no change0.031[0.100, -0.050]
12no change0.026[0.104, -0.055]
13no change0.022[0.096, -0.055]
14no change0.019[0.090, -0.062]
15no change0.014[0.095, -0.061]
16no change0.007[0.084, -0.074]
17no change0.001[0.079, -0.087]
18no change-0.022[0.058, -0.100]
19no change-0.023[0.058, -0.096]
20no change-0.026[0.045, -0.102]
21no change-0.035[0.042, -0.111]
22no change-0.049[0.041, -0.120]
233up 3 positions-0.071[0.017, -0.142]
241up 1 positions-0.074[0.025, -0.138]
252down 2 positions-0.082[0.008, -0.152]
261up 1 positions-0.089[0.018, -0.152]
272up 2 positions-0.095[0.008, -0.155]
284down 4 positions-0.098[0.004, -0.160]
291up 1 positions-0.109[0.000, -0.165]
302down 2 positions-0.118[-0.022, -0.190]
31no change-0.146[-0.035, -0.221]
32no change-0.212[-0.110, -0.305]