NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Super Bowl, 2022

Going into Super Bowl

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Super Bowl, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.281[0.371, 0.172]
2no change0.182[0.252, 0.074]
3no change0.171[0.251, 0.073]
4no change0.153[0.227, 0.052]
5no change0.120[0.197, 0.028]
6no change0.099[0.164, 0.003]
7no change0.051[0.123, -0.031]
81up 1 positions0.037[0.116, -0.042]
91down 1 positions0.037[0.110, -0.046]
10no change0.030[0.096, -0.057]
11no change0.027[0.091, -0.059]
12no change0.025[0.106, -0.055]
13no change0.022[0.103, -0.050]
14no change0.019[0.087, -0.064]
15no change0.014[0.079, -0.073]
16no change0.006[0.087, -0.070]
17no change0.000[0.076, -0.081]
18no change-0.019[0.066, -0.088]
19no change-0.025[0.061, -0.093]
20no change-0.027[0.050, -0.099]
21no change-0.039[0.051, -0.099]
226up 6 positions-0.049[0.040, -0.112]
231down 1 positions-0.052[0.031, -0.129]
241down 1 positions-0.071[0.022, -0.137]
251down 1 positions-0.072[0.020, -0.136]
26no change-0.089[0.003, -0.167]
27no change-0.096[0.002, -0.163]
283down 3 positions-0.101[-0.016, -0.179]
291up 1 positions-0.109[-0.017, -0.181]
301down 1 positions-0.112[-0.010, -0.176]
31no change-0.146[-0.038, -0.226]
32no change-0.215[-0.104, -0.300]