NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Super Bowl, 2022

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Super Bowl, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)IND0.280.17 to 0.37
2 (no change since last week)ARI0.180.07 to 0.25
3 (no change since last week)GNB0.170.07 to 0.25
4 (no change since last week)CHI0.150.05 to 0.23
5 (no change since last week)HOU0.120.03 to 0.20
6 (no change since last week)CLE0.100.00 to 0.16
7 (no change since last week)BAL0.05-0.03 to 0.12
8 (up 1 place since last week)CAR0.04-0.04 to 0.12
9 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ0.04-0.05 to 0.11
10 (no change since last week)NOR0.03-0.06 to 0.10
11 (no change since last week)JAX0.03-0.06 to 0.09
12 (no change since last week)NWE0.02-0.05 to 0.11
13 (no change since last week)TAM0.02-0.05 to 0.10
14 (no change since last week)MIA0.02-0.06 to 0.09
15 (no change since last week)WAS0.01-0.07 to 0.08
16 (no change since last week)TEN0.01-0.07 to 0.09
17 (no change since last week)LAR0.00-0.08 to 0.08
18 (no change since last week)LVR-0.02-0.09 to 0.07
19 (no change since last week)LAC-0.02-0.09 to 0.06
20 (no change since last week)BUF-0.03-0.10 to 0.05
21 (no change since last week)MIN-0.04-0.10 to 0.05
22 (up 6 places since last week)SFO-0.05-0.11 to 0.04
23 (down 1 place since last week)DEN-0.05-0.13 to 0.03
24 (down 1 place since last week)DAL-0.07-0.14 to 0.02
25 (down 1 place since last week)SEA-0.07-0.14 to 0.02
26 (no change since last week)ATL-0.09-0.17 to 0.00
27 (no change since last week)DET-0.10-0.16 to 0.00
28 (down 3 places since last week)PHI-0.10-0.18 to -0.02
29 (up 1 place since last week)CIN-0.11-0.18 to -0.02
30 (down 1 place since last week)NYG-0.11-0.18 to -0.01
31 (no change since last week)PIT-0.15-0.23 to -0.04
32 (no change since last week)KAN-0.22-0.30 to -0.10