NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Conference, 2025

Going into Conference Championship

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Conference, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
12up 2 positions0.074[-0.016, 0.109]
2no change0.069[-0.016, 0.107]
32down 2 positions0.061[-0.020, 0.098]
4no change0.048[-0.021, 0.093]
51up 1 positions0.035[-0.028, 0.079]
61up 1 positions0.030[-0.032, 0.075]
71up 1 positions0.028[-0.031, 0.075]
81up 1 positions0.023[-0.038, 0.068]
91up 1 positions0.022[-0.038, 0.068]
101up 1 positions0.019[-0.034, 0.070]
116down 6 positions0.019[-0.034, 0.065]
12no change0.019[-0.038, 0.065]
132up 2 positions0.017[-0.040, 0.064]
142up 2 positions0.016[-0.038, 0.065]
152down 2 positions0.014[-0.034, 0.071]
162down 2 positions0.013[-0.034, 0.069]
17no change0.003[-0.045, 0.057]
181up 1 positions0.000[-0.053, 0.049]
192up 2 positions-0.002[-0.057, 0.044]
20no change-0.002[-0.052, 0.048]
211up 1 positions-0.006[-0.052, 0.049]
224down 4 positions-0.007[-0.056, 0.044]
23no change-0.008[-0.056, 0.045]
24no change-0.014[-0.063, 0.041]
25no change-0.030[-0.074, 0.031]
26no change-0.039[-0.086, 0.024]
27no change-0.045[-0.083, 0.026]
28no change-0.051[-0.089, 0.025]
29no change-0.056[-0.099, 0.017]
30no change-0.067[-0.106, 0.015]
31no change-0.113[-0.138, 0.011]
32no change-0.121[-0.145, 0.011]