NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 18, 2024

Going into Week 18

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 18, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.591[0.453, 0.726]
2no change0.465[0.322, 0.592]
31up 1 positions0.381[0.244, 0.515]
41down 1 positions0.342[0.204, 0.463]
5no change0.328[0.190, 0.431]
6no change0.308[0.181, 0.431]
7no change0.284[0.141, 0.386]
81up 1 positions0.217[0.078, 0.317]
91down 1 positions0.204[0.065, 0.292]
10no change0.161[0.044, 0.280]
113up 3 positions0.089[-0.023, 0.193]
121down 1 positions0.073[-0.048, 0.186]
132up 2 positions0.045[-0.077, 0.153]
142down 2 positions0.014[-0.095, 0.126]
152up 2 positions0.003[-0.110, 0.108]
163down 3 positions-0.005[-0.139, 0.093]
171down 1 positions-0.028[-0.131, 0.087]
18no change-0.046[-0.147, 0.072]
193up 3 positions-0.068[-0.207, 0.021]
201up 1 positions-0.097[-0.213, 0.013]
212down 2 positions-0.097[-0.198, 0.028]
222down 2 positions-0.144[-0.269, -0.044]
232up 2 positions-0.156[-0.270, -0.042]
242up 2 positions-0.179[-0.286, -0.066]
251down 1 positions-0.192[-0.302, -0.092]
263down 3 positions-0.213[-0.346, -0.116]
27no change-0.229[-0.337, -0.121]
28no change-0.290[-0.391, -0.177]
291up 1 positions-0.421[-0.536, -0.317]
301down 1 positions-0.426[-0.523, -0.316]
311up 1 positions-0.497[-0.615, -0.410]
321down 1 positions-0.531[-0.646, -0.442]