NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 18, 2024

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 18, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)BAL0.590.45 to 0.73
2 (no change since last week)BUF0.470.32 to 0.59
3 (up 1 place since last week)LAC0.380.24 to 0.51
4 (down 1 place since last week)WAS0.340.20 to 0.46
5 (no change since last week)DET0.330.19 to 0.43
6 (no change since last week)KAN0.310.18 to 0.43
7 (no change since last week)PHI0.280.14 to 0.39
8 (up 1 place since last week)LAR0.220.08 to 0.32
9 (down 1 place since last week)GNB0.200.07 to 0.29
10 (no change since last week)MIN0.160.04 to 0.28
11 (up 3 places since last week)TAM0.09-0.02 to 0.19
12 (down 1 place since last week)HOU0.07-0.05 to 0.19
13 (up 2 places since last week)SEA0.04-0.08 to 0.15
14 (down 2 places since last week)ARI0.01-0.09 to 0.13
15 (up 2 places since last week)SFO0.00-0.11 to 0.11
16 (down 3 places since last week)PIT-0.01-0.14 to 0.09
17 (down 1 place since last week)CIN-0.03-0.13 to 0.09
18 (no change since last week)ATL-0.05-0.15 to 0.07
19 (up 3 places since last week)DEN-0.07-0.21 to 0.02
20 (up 1 place since last week)CHI-0.10-0.21 to 0.01
21 (down 2 places since last week)NOR-0.10-0.20 to 0.03
22 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ-0.14-0.27 to -0.04
23 (up 2 places since last week)NYG-0.16-0.27 to -0.04
24 (up 2 places since last week)MIA-0.18-0.29 to -0.07
25 (down 1 place since last week)IND-0.19-0.30 to -0.09
26 (down 3 places since last week)NWE-0.21-0.35 to -0.12
27 (no change since last week)JAX-0.23-0.34 to -0.12
28 (no change since last week)LVR-0.29-0.39 to -0.18
29 (up 1 place since last week)CAR-0.42-0.54 to -0.32
30 (down 1 place since last week)DAL-0.43-0.52 to -0.32
31 (up 1 place since last week)TEN-0.50-0.62 to -0.41
32 (down 1 place since last week)CLE-0.53-0.65 to -0.44